Seasonal tropical cyclone precipitation in Texas: A statistical modeling approach based on a 60 year climatology

Zhu, Laiyin; Frauenfeld, Oliver W.; Quiring, Steven M.

doi:10.1002/jgrd.50663

Cited by 12 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 192 publications

(181 reference statements)

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“…Proactive planning requires an accurate assessment of the hazards to which communities are exposed. Disciplinary research has examined changes in hazard exposure due to climate change by separately addressing the impacts of projected increases in tropical cyclone storm surge (Atkinson, Smith, & Bender, 2013; Strauss, Tebaldi, & Kulp, 2014; Tebaldi, Strauss, & Zervas, 2012), tropical‐cyclone‐associated precipitation (Zhu, Frauenfeld, & Quiring, 2013), inland precipitation and flooding (Milly, Wetherald, Dunne, & Delworth, 2002), and hydrologic flooding and storm surge (Ray, Stepinski, Sebastian, & Bedient, 2011). Determining the exposure to a hazard of a given magnitude is difficult under changing climate conditions when past observations may no longer serve as reliable indicators of expected future behavior.…”

Section: Improving Characterization Of Hazardsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Addressing Challenges to Building Resilience Through Interdisciplinary Research and Engagement

et al. 2018

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Resilient communities are less affected by, and recover faster from, natural disasters. To be resilient in rapidly changing contemporary environments subject to the effects of complex factors such as climate change and urbanization, communities must effectively and efficiently adapt to new conditions to minimize future risks. To develop resilience, the hazards to which the community is exposed and vulnerable (i.e., future hurricanes, subsidence, salt water intrusion) must be accurately assessed, the systems (i.e., natural, built, and social) must be well understood, and the community must be engaged in the proactive planning and priority setting process. An approach to building resilience that utilizes the adaptive capacity of planning highlights opportunities to work collaboratively across disciplines to incorporate models and data from different disciplines to reduce uncertainty. We present one interdisciplinary group's approach to addressing challenges to building resilience through proactive planning, including: (1) characterizing hazards more accurately;(2) improving understanding of the vulnerability of natural (e.g., climate and infrastructure) systems subject to hazards; and (3) capturing potential synergies from interactions between planning and policies that govern decisions about the design of human settlements in hazardous areas.

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Section: Improving Characterization Of Hazardsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Addressing Challenges to Building Resilience Through Interdisciplinary Research and Engagement

et al. 2018

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“…The physical basis for such an AMO influence on TC tracks has yet to be described, and the association may arise indirectly, as a result of the relationships between the AMO, NAO, and NASH. El Niño (La Niña) events are negatively (positively) associated with TC rainfall in Texas (Nogueira et al, ; Zhu et al, ). Total rainfall from landfalling TCs exhibits an increasing trend since the mid‐20th century, although this trend occurs within a distinct multidecadal oscillation associated with the AMO (Nogueira and Keim, ).…”

Section: Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Variabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Spatiotemporal Patterns of Drought/Tropical Cyclone Co‐occurrence in the Southeastern USA: Linkages to North Atlantic Climate Variability

Ortegren

Maxwell

2014

Geography Compass

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Droughts and landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs; tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes) are important features of the hydroclimate of the southeastern USA at seasonal, interannual, and interdecadal scales. The societal impacts and climatological aspects of both droughts and Atlantic TCs have been widely addressed in the scientific literature. However, in general, previous research has assessed the two phenomena separately. Recently, the spatiotemporal patterns and hydroclimatic impacts of drought amelioration by landfalling TCs have been analyzed for the southeastern USA, as well as the large‐scale dynamic forcing mechanisms that enhance or suppress drought‐TC co‐occurrence. At multidecadal time scales, both droughts and TCs in this region vary in association with several leading modes of basin‐wide and regional climate variability. These climate modes appear to be coherently linked to a background oceanic–atmospheric pattern that either promotes or suppresses the likelihood of both droughts and TC landfalls. The relative frequency of TC landfalls in drought‐stricken areas, the importance of these events in the regional moisture budget, and the potential for future changes in the large‐scale forcing environment raise fundamental questions about possible changes in the hydroclimate of the southeastern USA, where population growth and rising water demand already place strain on freshwater resources. In this article, we provide a review and synthesis of the recent research on variability in drought, landfalling TCs, the characteristics of the space–time association between these two phenomena in the southeastern USA, and the coherent large‐scale oceanic–atmospheric environment that either promotes or suppresses their co‐occurrence. Further, we review Global Climate Model projections related to these factors, and we identify avenues for future research on this important topic.

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“…We assessed the environmental justice implications of excess contaminant releases to air, water, and land during major hurricanes affecting industrialized regions of the Texas Gulf Coast over the last two decades. The Texas Gulf Coast is prone to climate change-related extreme and frequent weather events, − is rapidly urbanizing, and is a major hub for the petrochemical industry, making the region highly vulnerable to natech disasters. The Houston Ship Channel industrial corridor alone has 866 industrial facility parcels, 5 oil refineries, and more than 3400 aboveground storage tanks housing hazardous materials .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Justice Implications of Natech Disasters: Excess Contaminant Releases during Hurricanes on the Texas Gulf Coast

Berberian,

Morello-Frosch,

Karasaki

et al. 2024

Environ. Sci. Technol.

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Extreme weather events are becoming more severe due to climate change, increasing the risk of contaminant releases from hazardous sites disproportionately located in low-income communities of color. We evaluated contaminant releases during Hurricanes Rita, Ike, and Harvey in Texas and used regression models to estimate associations between neighborhood racial/ethnic composition and residential proximity to hurricane-related contaminant releases. Two-to-three times as many excess releases were reported during hurricanes compared to business-as-usual periods. Petrochemical manufacturing and refineries were responsible for most air emissions events. Multivariable models revealed sociodemographic disparities in likelihood of releases; compared to neighborhoods near regulated facilities without a release, a onepercent increase in Hispanic residents was associated with a 5 and 10% increase in the likelihood of an air emissions event downwind and within 2 km during Hurricanes Rita and Ike (odds ratio and 95% credible interval= 1.05 [1.00, 1.13], combined model) and Harvey (1.10 [1.00, 1.23]), respectively. Higher percentages of renters (1. 07 [1.03, 1.11], combined Rita and Ike model) and rates of poverty (1.06 [1.01, 1.12], Harvey model) were associated with a higher likelihood of a release to land or water, while the percentage of Black residents (0.94 [0.89, 1.00], Harvey model) was associated with a slightly lower likelihood. Population density was consistently associated with a decreased likelihood of a contaminant release to air, land, or water. Our findings highlight social inequalities in the risks posed by natural−technological disasters that disproportionately impact Hispanic, renter, low-income, and rural populations.

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Seasonal tropical cyclone precipitation in Texas: A statistical modeling approach based on a 60 year climatology

Cited by 12 publications

References 192 publications

Addressing Challenges to Building Resilience Through Interdisciplinary Research and Engagement

Addressing Challenges to Building Resilience Through Interdisciplinary Research and Engagement

Spatiotemporal Patterns of Drought/Tropical Cyclone Co‐occurrence in the Southeastern USA: Linkages to North Atlantic Climate Variability

Climate Justice Implications of Natech Disasters: Excess Contaminant Releases during Hurricanes on the Texas Gulf Coast

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