Simulation of main agrarian policy indicators within beef meat market in The Republic of Croatia by AGMEMOD partial equilibrium model

Kranjac, David; Zmaić, Krunoslav; Štefanić, Ivan; Milković, Sanja Jelić; Raguž, Nikola; Erjavec, Emil

doi:10.18047/poljo.25.2.7

Cited by 3 publications

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“…Similar impacts can also be confirmed by our own research, especially within Croatian livestock markets, which are generally uncompetitive [32,36,37,61]. The simulated results indicate that any further reduction in direct support (especially VCS) without changes in technology and investment in farms could cause a significant production drop, especially in beef and dairy.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 82%

Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach

et al. 2021

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The Latest Common Agricultural Policy reform intends to expand and strengthen environmental and social support and to liberalise the delivery model carried out through strategic planning. This paper aims to assess the potential impacts of the new CAP reform on the main agricultural markets in Croatia. The impact assessment is analysed using the AGMEMOD model where, in addition to the baseline scenario, three scenarios of potential changes are developed and compared to the baseline. Changes in market patterns (production, yield and net trade) at the end of the simulated period are compared with the baseline scenario results by 2030. The reduction in support levels to production, abolishment of voluntary coupled supports and introduction of additional environmental constraints have a significant impact on the main Croatian agricultural markets. Crop markets prov to be less dependent on subsidies, so that market pattern changes will not mean the loss of Croatia’s net export status for soft wheat, maize and soy beans, while barley no longer holds this status. Livestock sectors, especially beef and dairy, in addition to demonstrating a distinct lack of competitiveness even before the Croatian accession to the EU, additionally suffer significant production volume losses along with an increase in imports. Although significant, changes to the Croatian agricultural market are not dramatic enough to cause a complete production breakdown by 2030.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 82%

Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach

et al. 2021

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“…In order to analyze the economic efficiency of agricultural support measures, it is possible to use the already developed methods and indicators [10], for example, the gross output of farms of all categories for 1 ruble of subsidies or other investments; an increase in profitability indicators per 1 ruble of investments, in particular, profitability of sales and changes in the parameters of companies' debts, as compared to funds allocated under state support measures, and many others. On the other hand, indicators for assessing of the deferred and social efficiency have not yet been so carefully developed in Russian economic literature, and some aspects of these types of efficiency are not currently being quantified at all.…”

Section: Support Targetmentioning

confidence: 99%

Key Directions and Problems of Efficiency Assessment for State Support of Agriculture

Shishkina¹,

Sabetova²,

Apyrbaev³

2020

Proceedings of the International Conference on Policies and Economics Measures for Agricultural Development (AgroDevEco 2020)

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The paper substantiates the need for the formation of a set of measures of state support for agriculture. The concepts of "state regulation", "state support", "state assistance" and their goals are considered. The authors highlighted the main parameters of financial support in accordance with the State Program for the Development of Agriculture and the regulation of agricultural products, raw materials and food markets. The article considers the dynamics of the total amount of financial support provided within the State Program and highlights the changes in the composition of its directions at the regional level using the example of the Voronezh region. It is concluded that the set of support directions is constantly changing, and at the regional level, changes occur more often, are distributed relatively evenly in time and, apparently, reflect the current and medium-term needs of the agricultural sector of the region of the Russian Federation. The authors identified three levels of influencing factors upon the decisions in the field of state support for agriculture: the level of national agrarian policy; level of regional agricultural policy; micro level of the needs of individual producers and other entities of the agricultural sector. The article presents the key approaches to assessing the efficiency of the state support for agriculture in accordance with the set goals. The choice of indicators that would allow evaluation of the results of the measures of state support for agriculture is justified.

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“…Pig breeding in Croatia is a significant branch of livestock production and has a long tradition when it comes to the supply of a high-quality meat (Kralik et al, 2017;Kralik et al, 2012). Unfortunately, pork production in the Republic of Croatia does not satisfy the needs of domestic consumption, and about 50% of pork demand is satisfied by import (Kranjac et al, 2019;Grgić et al, 2015). Pork is an important source of nutrients in the population diet, and modern pork production is mainly based on the highly selected meat genotypes, obtained from the pigs bred in an intensive production system for the sake of a fresh meat market supply (Muñoz et al, 2018;Kralik et al, 2013).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Choice Experiment Performed on the Fresh Black Slavonian Pig’s Meat: A Preliminary Study

et al. 2021

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Until now, no research has been carried out in Croatia into consumer preferences for a particular agricultural and food product by a choice experiment. Therefore, little data are available about Croatian consumers' preferences for social concerns (sustainability, biodiversity, rural development and animal welfare) with regard to the consumer choice and behavior favoring local pig breeds, in this case the Black Slavonian Pig breed. A survey was the method used to collect the data, and a survey questionnaire was used as an instrument. The survey was performed on a sample of n = 100 Croatian consumers surveyed online using a hypothetical choice experiment. The data were analyzed using the three logit models: a multinomial logit model (MNL), random parameter logit (RPL), and an error component random parameter logit model (RPL-EC) in order to examine the consumers’ heterogeneous preferences for fresh ham meat of the Black Slavonian Pig. The results suggest that the Croatian consumers appreciated a darker red fresh pork meat than the one obtained from the Black Slavonian Pig reared outdoors and semi-outdoor. They also prefer a fresh meat bearing a geographical information label, such as the continental Croatia and continental Croatia + PDO, to a fresh meat without a label.

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Simulation of main agrarian policy indicators within beef meat market in The Republic of Croatia by AGMEMOD partial equilibrium model

Cited by 3 publications

References 0 publications

Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach

Production and Trade Impacts of CAP Post 2022 Reform on Main Croatian Crop and Livestock Markets—Partial Equilibrium Modelling Approach

Key Directions and Problems of Efficiency Assessment for State Support of Agriculture

Choice Experiment Performed on the Fresh Black Slavonian Pig’s Meat: A Preliminary Study

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