Spatio-Temporal Mobility Ofapiculture Affected by the Climate Change in the Beekeeping of the Gulf of Mexico

Abstract

One the effects of climate change on populations has been the alteration in the geographical limits and spatial mobility of plants, which generates changes with associated species, such as honeybees which could produce changes in beekeeping. The aim of this study was to determine the spatio-temporal mobility of beekeeping, in the short, medium and long term, in the main honey-producing area in the Gulf of Mexico`s beekeeping region due to changes in temperature resulting from climate change using a regional assembly model with scenario A2. The productive potential of eight indicator melliferous species was determined: C. sinensis, C. paradisi, B. simaruba, C. arabica, A. germinans, R. mangle, B. nigra and S. mombin. The development potential for A. mellifera was determined based on combining bee thermal comfort and melliferous species' information, forming four categories for apicultural development. Based on the type of flowering, beekeeping will be confronted by a loss of suitable area for citrus species and an increase in area for the rest of the indicator species, which demonstrated different changes according to each species from the short to the long term. Therefore, beekeeping will have a varied spatio-temporal mobility according to the availability of botanical resources and the thermal comfort of the honeybee.

Disonancia cognitiva ante el cambio climático en apicultores: un caso de estudio en México

“…Relativizando la problemática para reducir el estrés generado ante la incongruencia en el sistema cognoscitivo (13) . Lo que podría causar efectos negativos potenciales en la apicultura como: una baja rentabilidad, pobreza y el abandono de la actividad (7) , ya que asumen que "contra el clima nada puede hacerse".…”

“…Los impactos del cambio climático en la apicultura se manifiestan como un fenómeno relacional en un contexto local (6) . Por lo que para esta actividad se espera un impacto potencial directo (considerando la respuesta intra e interespecífica de la flora y las abejas melíferas), a través de la movilidad espacio-temporal de la floración melifera (7) y un impacto indirecto en los factores socioeconómicos de los apicultores (8) . Los apicultores poseen conocimiento empírico y técnico sobre las abejas y su entorno, así como de la variabilidad climática local (9) , lo que define la percepción del cambio climático y en la generación de ideas, que pueden influir en la aceptación de estrategias de adaptación y en su comportamiento (10) .…”

Advances and knowledge gaps on climate change impacts on honey bees and beekeeping: A systematic review

“…However, it still is necessary to increase the proportion of predictive studies, whose focus has been centered mainly on some pest species and with a scarce representation (≤2 articles per pest species, i.e., Cornelissen et al., 2019; Tihelka et al., 2021; Hosni et al., 2022; Kim et al., 2021; Alkhalaf, 2022; Abou‐Shaara & Darwish, 2021; Abou‐Shaara et al., 2021; Abou‐Shaara & Al‐Khalaf, 2022). In this sense, studies that integrate empirical measurements to generate predictive modeling under future climatic scenarios are limited (e.g., Castellanos‐Potenciano et al., 2017; Giliba et al., 2020; Medina‐Cuéllar et al., 2018; Rader et al., 2013). Thus, it is necessary to integrate empirical and experimental data to generate predictive models, which can be useful in anticipating the effects of climate change on honey bee populations, reproduction, beehive product production (e.g., pollen, honey, wax, and propolis), pollination services, pests, and diseases through different regions of the world.…”

“…However, despite that net effects were generally negative and neutral for most response variables analyzed, in some cases temperature increase can positively affect food reserves (e.g., increase honey production, advance of honey harvest days, increase hive weight, and increase in nectar volume; Gajardo‐Rojas et al., 2022; Langowska et al., 2017; Pătruică et al., 2019; Bordier et al., 2017; Gil‐Lebrero et al., 2020), reduce diseases (e.g., reduce chalkbrood, decrease deformed wing virus, increase Varroa mite fall; Nürnberger et al., 2019; Rowland et al., 2021; Bordier et al., 2017; Hillayová et al., 2022), affect positively the gene expression (e.g., improve thermo‐tolerance of workers; Al‐Ghzawi et al., 2022), increase the mitochondrial diversity (Cánovas et al., 2014), favor the geographic distribution (Castellanos‐Potenciano et al., 2017), exert positive effect on internal temperature of brood area (Gil‐Lebrero et al., 2020) and brood viability (Cebotari et al., 2019), increase glycogen levels (Bordier et al., 2017), increase the resistance of workers (i.e., daughter of heat‐stressed queens; Al‐Ghzawi et al., 2022), reduce reproduction of some pests (e.g., A. tumida ; Noor‐ul‐Ane & Jung, 2021), affect the plant‐pollinator networks (e.g., increase density, visitation rates, interactive role; Thomson, 2016; Hung et al., 2018; Cruz et al., 2022; Jaboor et al., 2022; Alzate‐Marin et al., 2021), and can increase the critical maximum temperature (Aldea‐Sánchez et al., 2021). Instead, some studies that evaluated the decrease in temperatures suggest an increase in the presence of beneficial bacteria such as Snodgrassella alvi (Castelli et al., 2022), as well as increased levels of protein, glycogen, glycerol, vitellogenin, gene expression, thus increasing the cold tolerance of honey bees (Qin et al., 2019).…”

Guerra de Mieles: Hipótesis Para Una Historia Ambiental de la Miel de Abeja En Costa Rica (1906-2014)

“…ISSN 2237ISSN -2717 polen, por agua"57 . En otras palabras, las alteraciones que ya estamos viviendo con los fenómenos del Niño y la Niña tienen repercusiones fuertes sobre la actividad apícola y por ello se vuelve necesario ampliar la investigación en este campo para apoyar a los Pimentel también aseguraban en ese estudio que, aunque la producción mundial de miel podría contribuir al ahorro de combustibles fósiles, sus costos seguirían siendo altos.…”