2021
DOI: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2021.106136
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Spatiotemporal dynamics of dengue in Colombia in relation to the combined effects of local climate and ENSO

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Cited by 23 publications
(18 citation statements)
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“…It is possible that during this period the transmission of Aedes-borne diseases was being influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The El Niño is a climate cycle that occurs in the equatorial Pacific Ocean affecting weather patterns, and has been identified as one of the factors increasing dengue transmission in Colombia [64]. No clusters were identified in 2017, when a sharp decrease in the number of arboviral diseases reported compared to previous years was observed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is possible that during this period the transmission of Aedes-borne diseases was being influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The El Niño is a climate cycle that occurs in the equatorial Pacific Ocean affecting weather patterns, and has been identified as one of the factors increasing dengue transmission in Colombia [64]. No clusters were identified in 2017, when a sharp decrease in the number of arboviral diseases reported compared to previous years was observed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Interestingly, although the four countries are in Southeast Asia and South America, they are all located within the region 30° south to 30° north latitude. All four countries have tropical or subtropical rainforest climates, with high temperatures and high humidity throughout the year, and this environment is conducive to the spread and mutation of the virus ( Hamel et al, 2021 ; Hattakam et al, 2021 ; Munoz et al, 2021 ; Ngim et al, 2021 ; Sriburin et al, 2021 ). In subtropical rainforests, PCV3 is not the only prevalent virus; other viruses such as the Zika virus and dengue virus are also prevalent, among others ( Hamel et al, 2021 ; Hattakam et al, 2021 ; Munoz et al, 2021 ; Ngim et al, 2021 ; Sriburin et al, 2021 ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Further details about the PCMCI can be found in Runge et al 38 Recently, PCMCI + , an extension to PCMCI, has been proposed, which allows the discovery of contemporaneous links in addition to the lagged links up to a Markov equivalence class. 39,40 We examine the stationarity of our datasets using the Kwiatkowski–Phillips–Schmidt–Shin (KPSS) test and Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) unit root test before performing causal discovery using PCMCI and stationaries the dataset by the first-order differencing as required. We take eight months as T max to account for tropical teleconnections to the polar region, and α is taken as 0.05.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%