2014
DOI: 10.1109/tit.2014.2334594
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Stationary and Transition Probabilities in Slow Mixing, Long Memory Markov Processes

Abstract: We observe a length-n sample generated by an unknown, stationary ergodic Markov process (model) over a finite alphabet A. Given any string w of symbols from A we want estimates of the conditional probability distribution of symbols following w, as well as the stationary probability of w. Two distinct problems that complicate estimation in this setting are (i) long memory, and (ii) slow mixing which could happen even with only one bit of memory.Any consistent estimator in this setting can only converge pointwis… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Likewise, the nucleotides in a DNA sequence do not form a random sample. Recently, there has been interest in the estimation of the missing mass and coverage probabilities when observable samples are modeled as Markov chains [Asadi et al, 2014;Falahatgar et al, 2016;Hao et al, 2018;Wolfer and Kontorovich, 2019;Cha et al, 2021]. In BNPs, Bacallado et al [2013] considered SSPs for observable samples modeled as reversible Markov chains.…”
Section: Some Generalizations Of Sspsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Likewise, the nucleotides in a DNA sequence do not form a random sample. Recently, there has been interest in the estimation of the missing mass and coverage probabilities when observable samples are modeled as Markov chains [Asadi et al, 2014;Falahatgar et al, 2016;Hao et al, 2018;Wolfer and Kontorovich, 2019;Cha et al, 2021]. In BNPs, Bacallado et al [2013] considered SSPs for observable samples modeled as reversible Markov chains.…”
Section: Some Generalizations Of Sspsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Therefore, it is interesting to analytically understand and study Good-Turing estimators for missing mass in Markov chains. Missing mass has been studied extensively in the iid case [3], [5]- [10], and estimation in Markov chains has been studied as well [11]- [14]. Recently, there has been interest in studying concentration and estimation of missing mass in Markov chains [15] [16].…”
Section: Prior Work and Problem Settingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Naturally then, to build clustering and community detection algorithms on graphs, we build Markov random walks such that the restriction of the random walk to within any one cluster mixes much faster than the overall walk itself. Once we obtain a walk like that, a careful interpretation of samples from the random walk along the lines of the theorems we obtain in [27] should reveal the community structure of the graph.…”
Section: Core Ideamentioning
confidence: 99%