Abstract:We investigate model dependence of bounding estimates or TIO degradation as a function of sample size and statistical model and develop a method for selecting the model with greatest predictive power.
“…The TID delay per gate increases exponentially with TID, which is consistent with the exponential increase in leakage current shown for the PIC16 part in Fig. 6 and other studies of STI leakage [18]. In Figure 24, the exponential model is shown to fit the data, allowing comparisons between different microcontrollers and forecasts of remaining useful life in the field.…”
Section: Empirical Model Of Maximum Operating Frequencysupporting
“…The TID delay per gate increases exponentially with TID, which is consistent with the exponential increase in leakage current shown for the PIC16 part in Fig. 6 and other studies of STI leakage [18]. In Figure 24, the exponential model is shown to fit the data, allowing comparisons between different microcontrollers and forecasts of remaining useful life in the field.…”
Section: Empirical Model Of Maximum Operating Frequencysupporting
“…To facilitate accessibility, we have used widely available, open-access tools. Most of the plots in this section are created using the statistical coding language R [20], along with the graphics add-on ggplot2. [21].…”
New approaches to statistical modeling in radiation hardness assurance are discussed. These approaches yield quantitative bounds on flight-part radiation performance even in the absence of conventional data sources. This allows the analyst to bound radiation risk at all stages and for all decisions in the RHA process. It also allows optimization of RHA procedures for the project's risk tolerance.
“…Difficulties can arise because environment uncertainties are dependent on the particular orbit, mission duration and environment dynamics. In addition the piece part failure distribution can vary significantly from a mean failure level and is not accounted for by equation 1 [18].…”
Variability of the space radiation environment is investigated with regard to parts categorization for total dose hardness assurance methods. It is shown that it can have a significant impact. A modified approach is developed that uses current environment models more consistently and replaces the radiation design margin concept with one of failure probability during a mission.
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