Surprising Elections in Exciting Times? Of Proxies and Second-Order Events in the 2014 European Election in Cyprus

Charalambous, Giorgos; Papageorgiou, Bambos; Pegasiou, Adonis

doi:10.1080/13608746.2015.1078221

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…cyprus: an election of 'soft' phenomena Nevertheless, some change has already happened. In clear contrast to the European elections of 2014, where the then newly elected President's honeymoon period (Anastasiades was elected in 2013) allowed the Right to avoid significant losses and present itself as a winner (Charalambous, Papageorgiou and Pegasiou, 2015), by 2019 dissatisfaction with the government had increased significantly. A considerable share of citizens with negative opinions about DISY shifted into abstention, so the party lost almost 9 percentage points (a total of around 16,000 votes).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 94%

The European Parliament elections

2019

Strategic Comments

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However, the analysis suggest that the turnout increase in 2019 cannot be attributed to any structural factor. This result is surprising, and further research will need to investigate this unexpected phenomenon. With regard to party results, the authors introduce theoretical and methodological innovations, linking the structural model of turnout evolution with the second order model of party choice. Findings demonstrate a previously undetected role of the electoral cycle in conditioning the way parties gain or lose support as compared with the most recent national election.Chapter Five, Impact of issues on party performance (by Maggini, De Sio, Garzia, and Trechsel), builds on the previous chapter by testing whether there is some issue content to the results. The analysis of EP electoral gains/losses according to party issue stances (collected from EU 2019 expert survey), shows that there indeed are issue effects on party performance. When discounting second-order dynamics, some issue effects even appear significant EU-wide, although the most accurate picture is one that sees area-specific effect patterns, with environmentalist, pro-cultural integration, pro-welfare stances emerging from the North-West, and culturally conservative (and pro-market) stances emerging from Central Eastern Europe. This suggests that the 2019 EU elections might actually, perhaps for the first time, show some genuine issue content that is readable across multiple countries.The second part of the book is composed of twenty-eight chapters: one for each country. These are detailed electoral reports in which one (or more) experts regarding each of the countries offer a detailed overview of the background and of the results.The overall structure of the book reflects an effort which we already pioneered at the CISE (Centro Italiano Studi Elettorali) at Luiss in 2014, by offering -shortly after the election -an overview of election results for all countries, plus some contribution covering the result at the aggregate European level. For this book we can say that that the 2014 experiment was further enhanced. New, international co-editors joined the project, a partnership between Luiss and Maastricht University was established, the panel of country experts was, if possible, reinforced (leading to dedicated chapters for each of the 28 countries), and even the scientific content of the comparative chapters of the first part of the book saw an enrichment. However, this was done perhaps in an even shorter time span, which allowed us to publish this book within one month from EP elections. This was of course only possible thanks to all the authors of this book, who delivered interesting analyses and high-quality reports in an incredibly short span of time. The impressive list of authors, to whom our deepest thanks go, includes

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 94%

The European Parliament elections

2019

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“…In February 2013, Cyprus was confronted with what some have termed ‘its biggest financial shock’ (Triga, 2017: 263). In order to respond to the impact of the global financial crisis, Cyprus ‘was offered a rescue package in which a bail-in clause targeting all depositors was introduced to cover the needs of the banks’ (Charalambous et al, 2015: 405). As a result, the small island became the focal point of international media attention.…”

Section: Cyprus’ Historical and Political Background: Between Populis...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the context of the Great Recession, Cyprus is the missing link in the chain of European populism. This article deals with the apparent paradox that characterises the post-crash period in Cyprus: although it experienced severe economic conditions (Charalambous et al, 2015) interwoven with evident distrust towards the political system (Eurobarometer, 2011, 2013, 2014a, 2015), no effective populist actor managed to challenge the pro-austerity government of the right-wing DISY ( Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός – Dimokratikos Synagermos). Indeed, in January 2018, even after implementing an austerity programme that re-shaped the social terrain as severely as the 1974 Turkish invasion, DISY won a second term in office.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Populism or Nationalism? The ‘Paradoxical’ Non-Emergence of Populism in Cyprus

Venizelos

2021

Political Studies

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This article investigates the curious non-emergence of populism in contemporary Cyprus despite the deep financial crisis and profound political disillusionment – conditions that are treated as necessary and sufficient. Putting emphasis on Cyprus’ key historical particularities, the article inquires into the ways Cyprus’ political past, and the subsequent salient ‘national question’, produce ambiguous notions of ‘the people’ on the one hand, and impede the potentials for a ‘populist moment’ on the other hand. By assessing the performative dynamics of oppositional parties in Cyprus, the empirical analysis suggests that the absence of populism is rooted in the following factors: First, nationalist discourse prevails over, and significantly weakens, populist discourse. Second, self-proclaimed challenger parties served ‘old wine in new bottles’ further undermining their position and claims. The failure of populism to take root in Cyprus, brings to the fore important theoretical insights relevant to the non-emergence of populism even under favourable conditions.

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Parties and Change in the Post-Bailout Cyprus: The May 2016 Parliamentary Elections

Triga

2017

South European Society and Politics

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Surprising Elections in Exciting Times? Of Proxies and Second-Order Events in the 2014 European Election in Cyprus

Cited by 5 publications

References 16 publications

The European Parliament elections

The European Parliament elections

Populism or Nationalism? The ‘Paradoxical’ Non-Emergence of Populism in Cyprus

Parties and Change in the Post-Bailout Cyprus: The May 2016 Parliamentary Elections

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