Technical Climate Change Adaptation Options of the Major Ski Resorts in Bulgaria

Demiroglu, O. Cenk; Turp, M. Tufan; Öztürk, Tuğba; An, Nazan; Kurnaz, M. Levent

doi:10.1007/978-3-319-27905-3_6

Cited by 6 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 23 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Such developments could lead to a more solid genesis of "winners" and "losers" in the Turkish ski tourism market, as changing snow reliability of the conventional resorts could lead to spatial substitution. This is also true at the international level, as a part of the Alpine market would also continue looking for more snow reliable ski resorts in the future, but, in that case, Northeast Turkey would not be alone and have to compete with other relatively reliable destinations such as the Western Caucasus [42] and Bulgaria [43].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In this study, we aim at improving previous works [43,[50][51][52][53] where snow reliability of ski resorts has been attempted to be examined through projections based on regional climate model outputs downscaled from various global circulation models (GCMs) for different greenhouse gas concentration pathways. It is thought that employment of dynamical, in addition to statistical, downscaling will portray a more realistic picture of climate change impacts on ski tourism domain, which is uncommon in the literature probably due to time and resource constraints.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Impact of Climate Change on Natural Snow Reliability, Snowmaking Capacities, and Wind Conditions of Ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach

et al. 2016

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Many ski resorts worldwide are going through deteriorating snow cover conditions due to anthropogenic warming trends. As the natural and the artificially supported, i.e., technical, snow reliability of ski resorts diminish, the industry approaches a deadlock. For this reason, impact assessment studies have become vital for understanding vulnerability of ski tourism. This study considers three resorts at one of the rapidly emerging ski destinations, Northeast Turkey, for snow reliability analyses. Initially one global circulation model is dynamically downscaled by using the regional climate model RegCM4.4 for 1971-2000 and 2021-2050 periods along the RCP4.5 greenhouse gas concentration pathway. Next, the projected climate outputs are converted into indicators of natural snow reliability, snowmaking capacity, and wind conditions. The results show an overall decline in the frequencies of naturally snow reliable days and snowmaking capacities between the two periods. Despite the decrease, only the lower altitudes of one ski resort would face the risk of losing natural snow reliability and snowmaking could still compensate for forming the base layer before the critical New Year's week. On the other hand, adverse high wind conditions improve as to reduce the number of lift closure days at all resorts. Overall, this particular region seems to be relatively resilient against climate change.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Climate Change on Natural Snow Reliability, Snowmaking Capacities, and Wind Conditions of Ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach

et al. 2016

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…A model for generating regional climate change scenarios (MAGICC/SCENGEN) was also incorporated [33]. In this study, the RCP2.6 scenario was not considered because it is optimistic and therefore improbable [34]; in addition, RCP6.0 was not considered because it represents an intermediate scenario between RCP4.5 and RCP8.5.…”

Section: Analysis and Projection Of Climate Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of Climate Change on the Irrigation Districts of the Rio Bravo Basin

Paredes-Tavares

Albores

Mastachi-Loza

et al. 2018

Water

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This paper analyzed the evolution of climate data in the Rio Bravo Basin in Mexico from 1980-2009 and projects future climate conditions in this region. Then, the potential impacts of climate change on water resources for crops in the nine irrigation districts (IDs) of the Rio Bravo Basin were evaluated. Specifically, climate data on precipitation, maximum and minimum temperatures, and evapotranspiration from the baseline period of 1980-2009 were compared with projected climate conditions for 2015-2039, 2045-2069, and 2075-2099. The projections were based on two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Patterns in the behavior of the analyzed climate variables over the past ten decades were examined and compared to the projected evolution of these variables through to the end of the century. Overall, in the future, temperatures, rates of evapotranspiration, and crop water demand are expected to increase. Also, the future precipitation patterns of all IDs were modified under the considered scenarios. Finally, the IDs of Acuña-Falcón and Delicias will be the most impacted by climate changes, while Palestina will be the least affected.

show abstract

“…Although Bulgaria is ranked 26 th world-wide in terms of skier visits for 2014 (Steiger et al, 2017) and the estimated annual number of skier visits is roughly 1.2 million (Vanat, 2018), the only research found in the reviewed English-language literature about the vulnerability of the country's ski industry to climate change is in the sphere of physical impact and vulnerability (Demiroglu, 2016), while no research regarding social views and opinions, as well as behavioural response to climate change, has been performed in the country. In an attempt to fill this gap regarding demand-side perceptions, the current paper discusses the results of an exploratory survey conducted in 2018 among visitors to one of the major Bulgarian ski resorts.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate change and ski industry in Pamporovo resort, Bulgaria: An exploratory study on the tourists’ perceptions

Cholakova¹,

Dogramadjeva²

2019

EJTR

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Studying stakeholder perceptions regarding climate change and their influence on the future development of ski resorts is both important and challenging. Tourists are one of the key stakeholder groups to be taken into account, since understanding their perceptions and reactions to the impacts of climate change is essential to anticipate potential geographic and seasonal shifts in tourism demand, as well as the decline or increase of specific tourism markets. Such studies have been undertaken in different countries but so far not in Bulgaria. In an attempt to fill the gap, this paper presents the results of an exploratory survey among visitors to one of the major Bulgarian ski resorts that was carried out in March 2018. The study results reveal a high level of acceptance of climate change threats worldwide and a moderate denial of the same threats at a local scale. A large proportion of respondents even now substitute the resort with another one and the majority of them see the future of Pamporovo as a four-season destination. The study outcomes are paralleled with results known from previous studies in other countries. Considering the exploratory study limitations, conclusions are drawn regarding the need for further research and methodology refinement.

show abstract

Technical Climate Change Adaptation Options of the Major Ski Resorts in Bulgaria

Cited by 6 publications

References 23 publications

Impact of Climate Change on Natural Snow Reliability, Snowmaking Capacities, and Wind Conditions of Ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach

Impact of Climate Change on Natural Snow Reliability, Snowmaking Capacities, and Wind Conditions of Ski Resorts in Northeast Turkey: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach

Impacts of Climate Change on the Irrigation Districts of the Rio Bravo Basin

Climate change and ski industry in Pamporovo resort, Bulgaria: An exploratory study on the tourists’ perceptions

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About