The Anticipation of Converging Industries

Curran, Clive-Steven

doi:10.1007/978-1-4471-5170-8

Cited by 40 publications

(16 citation statements)

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“…They have emphasized that technology convergence enables a firm to lead and dominate technological innovation in next-generation [6,[8][9][10][11]. Some empirical studies suggest evidence for technology convergence to emerge gradually over time by evolutionary aspect of convergence [7,[12][13][14][15]. However, although importance on technology convergence has been constantly emphasized since its initiatives began, its definition and measurement is ambiguous due to a different definition and analysis method by scholar.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Study on Diffusion Pattern of Technology Convergence: Patent Analysis for Korea

2015

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Technology convergence indicates that technologies of different application areas are converted into a new and common unity of technology. Its range spans from inter-field, whereby technologies are converged between heterogeneous fields in homogeneous sector, to a wider inter-sector, whereby technologies belong to heterogeneous technology sector are converged. This paper determined the definition of technology convergence from previous literature and classified patents into technology category depending on patent information. Furthermore, we empirically measure technology convergence degree based on co-classification analysis and estimate its diffusion trend at the entire technology domain level by using overall 1,476,967 of patents filed to the KIPO (Korean Intellectual Property Office) from 1998 to 2010. As a result, potential size and growth rate of technology convergence are varied by both technology and type of technology convergence, i.e., inter-field and inter-sector technology convergence. Diffusion pattern of inter-sector technology convergence appears as the more various form than that of inter-field technology convergence. In a relationship between potential size and growth rate of technology convergence, growth rate of technology convergence is in inverse proportion to potential size of technology convergence in general. That is, the faster the growth rate of technology convergence, the smaller the potential size of technology convergence. In addition, this paper found that technology convergence of the OPEN ACCESSSustainability 2015, 7 11547 instrument and chemistry sector is actively progressing in both inter-field and inter-sector convergence, while the technologies related to Information and Communication Technology (ICT) in electrical engineering sector have relatively mature progress of technology convergence, especially in inter-sector technology convergence.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Study on Diffusion Pattern of Technology Convergence: Patent Analysis for Korea

2015

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“…In projects that deal with territorial empowerment and cultural heritage we notice how the 'project anticipation' (Fanzini and Rotaru, 2015) uses some tools from service design and social innovation (Manzini, 2015 (Curan, 2013). The author describes some main differences between them, as shown in Table 1.…”

Section: Anticipation and Design In The Recovery Of Territorymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Despite some delay in the initial planning, the restoration works and the project were completed, €1.6 million in funding were invested for the recovery/res- Table 1. Differences between forecasting and foresight (Curan, 2013).…”

Section: Anticipation and Design In The Recovery Of Territorymentioning

confidence: 99%

Design as enabler of anticipatory systems: The MakeinProgress case study

Arquilla

Barbieri

2017

Strategic Design Research Journal

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In this paper we investigated the relationship between anticipation and design. Through a case study, we analysed the role Design plays among the anticipation processes in regards to the development of a territory. The functional structure of anticipation is based on a three-part scheme: a normal part, a model of the normal part, a steering device able to steer the normal part according to the outcomes of the model. The case study represented the model whereby the possible evolution of the normal part is experienced. The aim was to test whether design could enable anticipatory systems by operating as steering device and by supporting its action through processes of prefiguration, vision and realization. The case study 'MakeinProgress' (MiP) was born from an opportunity in the territory -the architectural recovery of a former "Filanda", funded by local authorities with public financing. The MiP project started as an incubator and then converted with the intervention of design. To convert MiP we applied an action-research approach. In the case of MiP, the local community could be seen as an autopoietic system, whereas the tools, belonging to the Service Design and to the Design for Social Innovation, acted as steering device. The paper presents the process whereby people were enabled to define new job opportunities out of their passions, to exploit the available space to the best of its potential, linking the territory to the national and international circuits. MiP is a concrete demonstration of the possible role of Design among anticipation mechanisms, thanks to the application of Service Design tools. MiP also acts as support for the creation of models to be used to support the public system and governments and to support the community. Keywords Theoretical introduction Futures studiesWhen man discovered that there could be yesterday and tomorrow, he had discovered the two Kantian categories of temporal and spatial. These became the tools with which he shaped images of the future, both in another time and in another space (Polak, 1973, p. 3).Pondering about the future has always been a prerogative of humankind, however a systemic thinking of the future came about between the First and Second World War in response to the need to develop programmes for the war-oriented planning. The purpose of systemic thinking was to analyze the initial conditions to inform decisions for planning a better future for social and economic life.Further structuring of systemic thinking led to Futures Studies, with the goal of exploring "alternative futures -the possible, the probable, and the preferable" (Bell, 1997, p. 42).In other words, analyzing various possible futures rather than focusing on a single, inevitable future. Understanding how these scenarios lead to different actions in the present is the purpose that moves this discipline. Below, we will briefly go through the anticipation concept and how it overlaps with design.

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“…As shown in Table 1, previous studies have suggested how to measure industry convergence, most of them by carrying out co-classification analysis, citation analysis, or industry-technology concordance analysis of patent information [1,6,7,14,23,27,44]. For example, Curran and Leker [1] suggest an international patent classification (IPC) co-classification analysis to investigate industry convergence in nutraceuticals and functional foods, while Karvonen and Kässi [44] provide a patent citation analysis to identify overlapping technologies in the computer, audiovisual, semiconductor, and optics industries.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Diffusion Patterns in Convergence among High-Technology Industries: A Co-Occurrence-Based Analysis of Newspaper Article Data

et al. 2016

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Firms in high-technology industries have faced great technological and market uncertainty and volatility in the past few decades. In order to be competitive and sustainable in this environment, firms have been pursuing technological innovation, product differentiation, vertical integration, and alliances, which eventually drive industry convergence, defined as the process of blurring boundaries between previously distinct industries. Although industry convergence has greatly affected industrial structure and the economy, little research has investigated this phenomenon, especially its diffusion patterns; thus, it is still unclear which industries are converging more rapidly or have a higher potential for convergence. This paper explores these issues by investigating industry convergence in U.S. high-technology industries, using a large set of newspaper articles from 1987 to 2012. We perform a co-occurrence-based analysis to obtain information on industry convergence and estimate its diffusion patterns using an internal-influence logistic model. We find heterogeneous diffusion patterns, depending on convergent-industry pairs and their wide dispersion. In addition, we find that the potential degree of industry convergence is significantly negatively associated with its growth rate, which indicates that a great deal of time will be required for industry convergence between high-technology industries with this high potential to achieve a high degree of convergence.

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The Anticipation of Converging Industries

Cited by 40 publications

References 0 publications

A Study on Diffusion Pattern of Technology Convergence: Patent Analysis for Korea

A Study on Diffusion Pattern of Technology Convergence: Patent Analysis for Korea

Design as enabler of anticipatory systems: The MakeinProgress case study

Diffusion Patterns in Convergence among High-Technology Industries: A Co-Occurrence-Based Analysis of Newspaper Article Data

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