The economic effects of refugee return

Dadush, Uri

doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2018-33

Cited by 5 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 20 publications

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“…Yet, these two groups of migrants are inherently different. The main differences between refugees and economic migrants are (i) their reasons for leaving the country of origin, (ii) their legal status in the host country, and (iii) the length of time that they remain out of the country of origin (Dadush, 2018). Other differences include their experiences of hardship and trauma prior to leaving and their ability to return to a safe environment.…”

Section: Return Migration Of Refugeesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Empirical and Theoretical Literature On Refugees' Return Mig...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…We are aware of a small number of quantitative studies about refugees/informal migrants and return migration (e.g., Dadush 2018;Black et al 2004). The literature on refugees' (voluntary) return points to a mix of different strategies being employed to encourage return migration (e.g., Dadush 2018;Black et al 2004;Turton and Marsden 2002). For example, host-country return migration efforts start with motivating voluntary return including the signing of tripartite agreements as well as "go and see, come and tell" visits (IRRI 2010).…”

Section: Empirical and Theoretical Literature On Refugees' Return Mig...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Determinants of Intended Return Migration among Refugees: A Comparison of Syrian Refugees in Germany and Turkey

Husein¹,

Wagner

2023

International Migration Review

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Little is known about whether Syrian refugees intend to return to their origin-country and what affects their return migration intentions. We introduce a theoretical framework for voluntary return, identify the refugees’ decision-making context, and empirically assess the model with a sample of 577 Syrian refugees living in Germany and Turkey in 2018. Three return scenarios were presented in the survey: (i) returning to Syria within two years, (ii) returning when Syria is as safe as before the civil war, and (iii) ever returning. The three scenarios were conceived very differently by the refugees, highlighting the dynamic nature and context dependency of the concept of voluntary return. Syrian refugees in Turkey were more likely to regard their stay as temporary (76 percent), compared to those in Germany (55 percent, p-value of difference = .000). Similarly, structural factors of the origin- and host-countries, that is, the origin-governorate and the current location, were considerably influencing return intentions. Concerning individual factors, female and highly educated refugees had a lower willingness to return. Those who were married were less inclined to return in the short run, yet refugees who self-identified as poor indicated their desired return in the long run. We also analyzed whether random exposure to information regarding return impacted refugees’ intentions. We found a negative, albeit insignificant, impact of information, suggesting that host governments cannot expect (rapid) information dissemination to impact refugees’ decision-making about voluntary return. Our findings underscore that neither proximate nor distant host-countries should bank on the speedy return of the Syrian refugees.

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Section: Return Migration Of Refugeesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Empirical and Theoretical Literature On Refugees' Return Mig...mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Empirical and Theoretical Literature On Refugees' Return Mig...mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Determinants of Intended Return Migration among Refugees: A Comparison of Syrian Refugees in Germany and Turkey

Husein¹,

Wagner

2023

International Migration Review

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“…Migrants can put downward pressures on wages and salaries of local low-skill workers and decrease their bargaining power, although this potential effect does not always find empirical support (see Dadush, 2018). The shrinking working-age population in most advanced economies is a counterbalancing factor and, more generally, constitutes a strong economic argument in favour of immigration.…”

Section: Central European Business Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Antidemocratic Drift in the Early 21st Century: Some Thoughts on its Roots, Dynamics and Prospects

Dąbrowski¹

2021

CEBR

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In the first two decades of the 21st century, the previous democratization progress was partly reversed. It is well seen in the former Soviet Union and Central and Eastern Europe but also in other geographic regions. In search for causes of this warning trend, many authors point out economic factors such as economic stagnation, unemployment, inequality, consequences of the global financial crisis of 2007-2009 and side-effects of globalization. Not negating the role of economic factors, it is important, however, to see noneconomic determinants such as immature political institutions and their dysfunctionality, nationalism and cultural prejudices, and side-effects of the ICT revolution, which destroyed traditional media and public debate. The antidemocratic drift is dangerous not only for political and civil freedom but also has a negative impact on economic governance, making economies less open and competitive and easy victims of oligarchic predation ('crony' capitalism).

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“…However, there is scarce empirical evidence so far confirming the existence of such a downward pressure of immigrants on local wages. It may relate only to unskilled workers (see Dadush, 2018). • Increasing global cost competition and migration flows make traditional tax and welfare state instruments aimed at reducing national income inequality (progressive personal income taxes, various social benefits and generous public pension schemes) in AEs unsustainable.…”

Section: Interrelation Between Global and National Income Inequality mentioning

confidence: 99%

Examining interrelation between global and national income inequalities

Dąbrowski¹

2018

RUJEC

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The last decade brought increasing attention to income and wealth inequalities in advanced economies because of their increase in several countries and negative social and political implications. However, this debate is often limited to the single-country perspective, disregarding decreasing global income inequalities, i.e. inequalities between individuals in the entire world. This paper focuses mainly on the g lobal dimension of the inequality trends but also tries to update statistics on national inequality trends which, contrary to the dominant narrative, seem to go in various directions depending on a concrete country. Finally, an attempt is made to analyze the potential interrelation and trade-off between decreasing global inequalities and increasing national inequalities and the role of globalization, in its various forms, in such a trade-off.

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The economic effects of refugee return

Cited by 5 publications

References 20 publications

Determinants of Intended Return Migration among Refugees: A Comparison of Syrian Refugees in Germany and Turkey

Determinants of Intended Return Migration among Refugees: A Comparison of Syrian Refugees in Germany and Turkey

The Antidemocratic Drift in the Early 21st Century: Some Thoughts on its Roots, Dynamics and Prospects

Examining interrelation between global and national income inequalities

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