The author estimates the impact of compulsory election laws on certification success using data on over 6,500 private sector certifications from British Columbia over the years 1978-98. A unique quasi-experimental design is used by exploiting two changes in the union recognition law: first, in 1984, the introduction of mandatory elections; and second, in 1993, the repeal of elections and their replacement by the original card-check procedure. The author also estimates the effectiveness of management opposition tactics across union recognition regimes. Success rates declined by an average of 19 percentage points during the voting regime, and then increased by about the same amount when card-checks were re-instituted. The results indicate that the mandatory election law can account for virtually the entire decline. In addition, the findings suggest that management opposition was twice as effective under elections as under card-checks.
Sne of the most important public policies affecting the union organizing process is the recognition procedure, that is, the mechanism by which the union attempts to demonstrate that it has sufficient support within the proposed bargaining unit to be certified. Up to the late 1980s, all Canadian provinces (except Nova Scotia after 1977) had "card-check" procedures, whereby the union could be certified without an election if it signed up a sufficient proportion of the proposed bargaining unit. The proportion required to avoid an election varied by province, but generally ranged between 50% and 55%. While it was possible for a certification bid to require a vote in a card-check province, few organizing drives actually went to an election. The Canadian system in those years contrasts starkly with the system in the United States and, until the 1999 Employment Relations Bill, with that in the United Kingdomalthough for very different reasons. As a result, the union recognition procedure