The effects of the electoral calendar on terrorist attacks

Bali, Valentina A.; Park, Johann

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2014.03.002

Cited by 10 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 81 publications

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“…For the latest comprehensive review, see Gassebner and Luechinger (2011) and Chenoweth (2013). For an example of studies focusing on political causes, Bali and Park (2014) show how electoral politics affect terrorist incidents. 2.…”

Section: Authors' Notementioning

confidence: 99%

International Terrorism and the Political Survival of Leaders

Park

Bali

2015

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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This study examines whether transnational terrorist attacks impact the political survival of leaders. We argue that external security threats, such as those from transnational terrorist incidents, can undermine incumbent target governments by exposing foreign policy failures and damaging society’s general well-being. Yet, terrorism may not destabilize democratic governments as a result of citizens rallying around their elected leaders in threatening times. Focusing on Archigos’ survival leadership data and International Terrorism: Attributes of Terrorist Events’ terrorism data for the 1968–2004 period, we find that autocrats who experience higher instances of transnational terrorist attacks are more likely to exit power. Democrats, however, are relatively secure to the destabilizing influence of transnational terrorism.

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Section: Authors' Notementioning

confidence: 99%

International Terrorism and the Political Survival of Leaders

Park

Bali

2015

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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“…While this provides valued insights, particularly from a theory‐generating perspective, instinctive generalisations beyond the specific American context remain, at best, complicated. To date, studies on public responses to terrorism across Europe remain less common and often topical in their contributions, with scholars primarily focusing on electoral implications (Balcells & Torrats‐Espinosa 2018; Bali 2007; Bali & Park 2014; Kibris 2011), policy positions (Bozzoli & Müller 2011; Economou & Kollias 2019) and, more specifically, out‐group perceptions (Castanho Silva 2018; Echebarria‐Echabe & Fernández‐Guede 2006; Jungkunz et al. 2019; Ferrín et al.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

In‐group solidarity or out‐group hostility in response to terrorism in France? Evidence from a regression discontinuity design

Hauwaert

Huber

2020

European J Political Res

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Conventional wisdom holds that terrorism has a wide-ranging impact on a polity. At the same time, a complementary, yet less extensive body of research discusses the impact of terrorism on the crux of representative democracy, namely its citizens. In contribution to that literature, and to further explore how external shocks affect public opinions, we propose a two-dimensional analytical framework to examine the effects of the November 2015 terrorist events in Paris and Saint Denis. Drawing from extant scholarship, we argue that we can expect both in-group solidarity and out-group hostility to increase in direct response to these events. This study relies on a regression discontinuity design to analyse a representative survey (DREES) that was in the field at the time of the events. Findings are twofold. First, and perhaps surprisingly, we find no conclusive evidence of increasing out-group hostilities as a direct consequence of the terrorist events. Second, we find a definite strengthening of in-group solidarity indicators following the events. This not only confirms that citizens adjust their opinions in response to environmental stimuli, but also highlights the democratic resilience of citizens, particularly when faced with a collective threat. Altogether, these findings add to our understanding of why and how individual behaviour changes in light of exogenous shocks.

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“…Similarly, in democracies, the opposition can be expressed by non-violent means. Furthermore, according to Bali and Park (2014) In the rest of the columns in Table 2, to examine whether our results are driven by the way we decompose total attacks into international and domestic incidents, we also employ the database of Enders, et al (2011), as updated by Gaibulloev and Sandler (2019), which build a database that decomposes total attacks into transnational and domestic incidents by applying a five-step procedure. As the reader can verify, both methods of decomposing terrorist incidents produce qualitatively similar results.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%