The future imagined: Exploring fiction as a means of reflecting on today’s Grand Societal Challenges and tomorrow’s options

Bina, Olívia; Mateus, Sandra; Pereira, Lavínia; Caffa, Annalisa

doi:10.1016/j.futures.2016.05.009

Cited by 54 publications

(38 citation statements)

References 25 publications

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“…The largest contrast between expectations and scenario was evident in the anticipated electricity demand, which only Cluster 1 expects to decrease in line with the scenario projection. Many people associate energy with progress, which could explain why most people expect an increase in electricity demand [53]. Also, most people's personal experiences and lifestyles (i.e.…”

Section: The Varying Compatibility Of Energy System Expectation Clustmentioning

confidence: 99%

How the public imagines the energy future: Exploring and clustering non-experts’ techno-economic expectations towards the future energy system

Braunreiter

Stauffacher

Blumer³

2020

PLoS ONE

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Various countries have pledged to carry out system-wide energy transitions to address climate change. This requires taking strategic decisions with long-term consequences under conditions of considerable uncertainty. For this reason, many actors in the energy sector develop model-based scenarios to guide debates and decision-making about plausible future energy systems. Besides being a decision support instrument for policy-makers, energy scenarios are widely recognized as a way of shaping the expectations of experts and of influencing energy policy more generally. However, relatively little is known about how energy scenarios shape preferences and expectations of the public. We use an explorative research design to assess the publics' expectations of future energy systems through an online survey among Swiss residents (N = 797). We identified four significantly different clusters of people with distinct expectations about the future energy system, each seeing different implications for the acceptability of energy policies and the compatibility with projections of techno-economic energy scenarios. Cluster 1 expects a system-wide energy transition towards renewable energy sources that is similar to the policy-relevant national energy scenario. Cluster 2 also expects an energy transition, but believes it will lead to a range of technical challenges, societal conflicts and controversies with neighboring countries. Cluster 3 is the only cluster not expecting significant changes in the future energy system and thus not anticipating an energy transition. Cluster 4's expectations are between cluster 1 and 2, but it anticipates a huge increase in per capita electricity demand while prices are expected to remain low. The study at hand offers some initial insights into the interdependencies between energy transition pathways outlined in techno-economic energy scenarios and the energy system expectations of the public. These insights are essential for gaining a better understanding of whether and how energy scenarios can contribute to informed public debates about energy futures and how desirable pathways towards them might look like.

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Section: The Varying Compatibility Of Energy System Expectation Clustmentioning

confidence: 99%

How the public imagines the energy future: Exploring and clustering non-experts’ techno-economic expectations towards the future energy system

Braunreiter

Stauffacher

Blumer³

2020

PLoS ONE

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“…Robinson et al (2013) sugiere que la ficción ayuda a identificar qué investigación es necesaria en términos de nuevos conocimientos, técnicas y materiales. Ofrece formas de encarnar, contar, imaginar y simbolizar 'futuros', que pueden proporcionar marcos y entendimientos alternativos para enriquecer los grandes retos del siglo XXI (Binaa et al, 2016) y generar estrategias para abordarlos.…”

Section: Ciencia Ficción Y La Enseñanzaunclassified

Sensibilización Ambiental en Educación Básica: Una Experiencia de Aprendizaje para Abordar la Sustentabilidad utilizando el Diseño y la Ciencia Ficción

2017

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ResumenSe presentan los resultados de una experiencia educativa que abordó desde el diseño la importancia de la sustentabilidad para tratar problemas medioambientales. Utilizando el recurso narrativo de la ciencia ficción para contextualizar prospectivamente e inspirar a las alumnas en la solución de problemáticas globales con el recurso agua. Se implementó un piloto de feria multimodal y se aplicó una encuesta de percepción a 106 estudiantes de octavo básico en Talcahuano, Región del Biobío, Chile. Los resultados muestran que 97% de los estudiantes terminó asignando importancia a la sustentabilidad, 81% a la necesidad de reciclar y ese mismo porcentaje expone que el uso de la ciencia ficción para la creación de sus productos tendientes a extracción y reutilización del recurso agua, fue una experiencia que determinó satisfactoriamente su participación. De esta manera fue posible detectar que la integración multimodal de la experiencia permitió motivar y captar la atención de las alumnas durante la actividad, además de ampliarles los campos de aplicación del diseño. Palabras clave: diseño industrial, educación tecnológica, conciencia ecológica, sustentabilidad, reciclaje, reutilización, creatividad Environmental Awareness in Basic Education: A Learning Experience to Approach Sustainability using Design and Science Fiction AbstractThe results of an educational experience that addressed from the design the importance of sustainability to deal with environmental problems are presented. Using the narrative resource of science fiction to contextualize prospectively and inspire the students in the solution of global problems regarding water resource. A pilot of multimodal fair was implemented and a perception survey was applied to 106 eighth grade students in Talcahuano, Biobío Region, Chile. The results show that 97% of the students ended up assigning importance to sustainability, 81% to the need of recycling and the same percentage states that the use of science fiction for the creation of their products for extraction and reuse of water resources was an experience that satisfactorily determined their participation. In this way it was possible to detect that the multimodal integration of the experience allowed motivating and capturing the attention of the students during the activity, in addition to extending the fields of application of the design.

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“…In this regard, advertising, sci-fi books and films have had much influence. The close link among fiction, technology, and innovation is indisputable [3]. Economic interests also play a key role, and the trained incapacity of consumers is by far the best of the consumer-goods suppliers' weapons [4].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Technology: A Necessary but Not Sufficient Condition for Future Personal Mobility

2018

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The future imagined: Exploring fiction as a means of reflecting on today’s Grand Societal Challenges and tomorrow’s options

Cited by 54 publications

References 25 publications

How the public imagines the energy future: Exploring and clustering non-experts’ techno-economic expectations towards the future energy system

How the public imagines the energy future: Exploring and clustering non-experts’ techno-economic expectations towards the future energy system

Sensibilización Ambiental en Educación Básica: Una Experiencia de Aprendizaje para Abordar la Sustentabilidad utilizando el Diseño y la Ciencia Ficción

Technology: A Necessary but Not Sufficient Condition for Future Personal Mobility

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