Abstract. Observational studies reveal the oscillatory nature of coupled stratosphere-troposphere variability, which is characterized by a slowly downward propagating anomalous zonal-mean zonal wind during the winter. The term "slowly" is employed compared to the rapid variation associated with stratospheric sudden warmings. In fact, strong stratospheric warming events are embedded in this slowly propagating variability as is shown in a companion paper [Kodera e! al., this issue]. In the present study, the mechanism producing such variability at all levels of the atmosphere is investigated by developing a simple model that extends from the Earth's surface to 80 km altitude. The model is a quasi-geostrophic channel model similar to that used by Holton and Mass [1976], but it includes two meridional Fourier components and latitudinal variation in the gradient of the Coriolis parameter. By this extension, the present model can incmporate both the subtropical and polar night jet and also treat the horizontal propagation of planetary waves as well as vertical propagation. The results of the simulation reproduce qualitatively well the main observed features: Interaction between the planetary waves and zonal-mean flow produces oscillations in the winter stratosphere, and zonal wind anomalies created in the subtropics of the stratopause propagate downward into the polar region of the troposphere, which provoke changes in the meridional propagation of tropospheric planetary waves.
IntroductionIn a companion paper [Kodera et al., this issue] we show that two contrasting types of winter exist in the stratosphere: One is characterized by a persistent strong stratospheric polar night jet, and the other is characterized by a slowly propagating anomalous zonal-mean zonal wind from the stratosphere to the troposphere. The term "slowly" is employed in comparison with the rapid variation associated with stratospheric sudden warmings. In fact, strong stratospheric warming events are embedded in this slowly propagating variability. Although slowly propagating anomalies rarely achieve more than one cycle during a cold season, an approximate periodicity of 3-5 months is suggested. These two different states of the stratospheric circulation may be compared to the vacillating and stationary regimes in a simple mechanistic model by Holton and Mass [ 1976] (hereinafter referred to HM).Another important characteristic of the observed slowly propagating anomalies is that the variation is not limited to the stratosphere. It also propagates into the troposphere, where it is accompanied by changes in the meridional propagation of tropospheric planetary waves. This stratosphere-troposphere coupled mode of variability is, in fact, closely related to that discussed in previous papers in connection with the Arctic Oscillation (