The Population Dynamic Challenge to Cuban Socialism

Abstract

In recent years, Cuba's population dynamics has had a significant change. From 2006 on, and for the first time, the rate of population growth went negative. The aim of this article is to analyse this inflection. In addition to all the economic and social problems that it is already going through, Cuba will face the population issue, and will have to elaborate appropriate policies to reverse the present trend. This article analyses the population dynamics in Cuba through its main indicators and indexes and highlights the key role that international migration plays. In this article, to the forces that put the country in the highest stages of demographic transition, the economic expulsion of the youth is added. The economic perspectives of an ageing country that is scarcely industrialised and without workforce replacement are uncertain.

Cuban immigrants in the United States: what determines their earnings distribution?

“…Otherwise, Hernández and Foladori (2014) assure since the turn of the century, the trend has been for younger (aged 20-40) and more highly qualified professional Cubans to migrate.…”