Tratado transpacífico de livre comércio: é possível reparar os prejuízos?

Abstract

A s negociações de acordos preferenciais de comércio intensificam-se a cada dia e alteram o cenário internacional. Dois grandes e importantes acordos merecem destaque: o primeiro é o Tratado Transatlântico de Comércio e Investimento (Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership-TTIP), realizado entre os Estados Unidos e a União Europeia (UE); o segundo é o Tratado de Associação Transpacífico (Trans-Pacific Partnership-TPP),

United States and the transpacific partnership agreement: an analysis of recent dynamics and possible implications for Brazil

“…The exit of the United States from the TPP could be beneficial for Brazil, considering that the formalization of the agreement would facilitate the penetration of North American agricultural products in the markets of the member countries. This premise is emphasized by Costa (2016), according to which the most affected products would be mineral and agricultural commodities. Still according to the author, the exports of these products to the member countries of the TPP are around US$54bi and are expected to decrease by at least 3%, creating a significant loss for the Brazilian economy.…”

“…It is also necessary to discuss the relationship of trade agreements to which Brazil is a party, especially Mercosur and its domestic foreign trade policies. The isolation of Brazil in relation to world trade policies is evidenced in the study of several authors such as Bayne et al (2011), Pereira (2013, Thorstense et al (2014), Cervo et al (2014), Costa (2016), and Pinto (2017, a relevant fact that must be considered for possible changes in the international political and commercial agendas.…”