Urban shinkage in a 'shrinking' Serbia – the approach to a global phenomenon in a local context

Abstract

Urban planning, urban shrinkage, post-socialist city, globallocal, Serbia načrtovanje urbanega razvoja, stagnacija urbanih območij, postsocialistična mesta, globalno-lokalno, Srbija Glavni namen predstavljene raziskave je razumevanje osnovnih vzorcev stagnacije urbanih območij v Srbiji. Stagnacija mest, na katero pogosto naletimo v postsocialističnih državah, je v današnji Srbiji nov, a zelo razširjen pojav. Čeprav je stagnacija mest velik izziv za prihodnost države, še na nobeni ravni ni bila dovolj raziskana. Za razumevanje stagnacije urbanih območij bi bila prva »naloga« zagotovo določitev, katera mesta v Srbiji lahko uvrstimo med stagnirajoča urbana območja v lokalnem kontekstu. Raziskava se na to vprašanje osredotoča z razvojem štirih modelov za proučevanje procesov stagnacije urbanih območij v Srbiji glede na globalne dejavnike, ki vplivajo na te procese. Namen prispevka je pojasniti možnosti za uporabo posameznega modela in raziskati, kateri lokalno utemeljeni dejavnike lahko vplivajo na stagnacijo urbanih območij. The initial purpose of this research was to understand the basic patterns of urban shrinkage in Serbia. Urban shrinkage, a common phenomenon in post-socialist countries, is a novelty, albeit very present in Serbia today. Despite presenting a huge challenge for the future of the country, it has not been studied sufficiently at any level. To understand this situation, the first "task" would certainly be to identify which cities in Serbia can be considered as shrinking in a local context. The research will focus on this issue through the development of four models of shrinking cities in Serbia according to globally based factors of urban shrinkage. The aim of the paper is to clarify the potential of their use and to explore the possible locally-based factors of urban shrinkage.

“Shrinking Cities”, the concept of urban shrinkage in different realities: a systematic review

“…Na classificação A3 são dois (10,53%) artigos (PALLAGST; FLESCHURZ; SAID, 2017; BARTOSIEWICZ; KWIATEK-SOLTYS; KUREK, 2019). No A4 foram três (15,80%) artigos (IVONNE; SYLVIE; MARTINEZ-FERNANDEZ, 2010;ŠERÝ et al, 2018;DJUKIC;ANTONIC;VUJICIC, 2017). Por fim, houve um artigo no estrato B1 (5,26%) e outro no B2 (5,26%), sendo o primeiro de Busto e Ramos, 2019; e o segundo de Weaver e Holtkamp, 2015 (Tabela 1).…”

Demographic Aspects of Urban Shrinkage in Serbia: Trajectory, Variety, and Drivers of Shrinking Cities

“…Given the fact that the process of urban shrinkage in Serbia gained momentum during the transition period, new scientific research is still relatively scarce. While some authors have studied the importance of certain factors, they have not considered the longer-term perspective, the differentiation of types of shrinking cities, or all urban settlements in Serbia [14][15][16][17][18].…”

“…Numerous researchers have previously analyzed the dynamics and degree of demographic development of cities in Serbia; however, without relating phenomena observed directly to the concept of urban shrinkage [7][8][9][10][11][12][13]. Recent studies indicate that urban shrinkage is becoming a pronounced problem [14][15][16][17][18], which became evident after the most recent census in 2022, although it is still not acknowledged by the public. However, the urban development of Serbia in the 21st century is characterized by ever-increasing shrinkage, with the results of the last census in 2022 showing that over 80% of urban settlements are affected by this process.…”

Use and design of public green spaces in Serbian cities during the COVID-19 pandemic

“… Alwah et al, 2021 , Boterman, 2020 , Brichacek and Burkrinsky, 2020 , Đuki ć et al, 2017 , Florida et al, 2021 , Hamidi et al, 2020 , Klein et al, 2021 , Lo and Jim, 2010 , Ma et al, 2021 , Ministry of Construction, 2016 , Ravelo and Jerving, 2020 , Rogers, 2019 , Stevens et al, 2021 , UN-Habitat, 2016 , UNSD, 2019 , World Health Organization, 2020b…”