2016
DOI: 10.1051/ocl/2016030
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What vegetable oils and proteins for 2030? Would the protein fraction be the future of oil and protein crops?

Abstract: -To support the reflections of the French professionnels of vegetable oils and proteins, a foresight study was carried out to 2030 horizon (15 years), to shed light on the opportunities that will draw the oilcrops and grain legumes, and the areas of growth for the French and European vegetable oil and protein sector. The thinking was organized in the form of four different scenarios for 2030, which illustrate different logical evolutions of the context and related key issues, under the pressure of demographic,… Show more

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Cited by 32 publications
(21 citation statements)
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“…Isermeyer concluded that the rapeseed protein fraction deserves more attention and that the discussion should focus on market segmentation. This conclusion was similar to that of the prospective scenario of vegetable oils and proteins 2030 presented by E. Pilorgé (Pilorgé and Muel, 2016): in the long term, food remains the basis of competitiveness of rapeseed, and attention must be maintained on food oil and proteins for animal feed, even food. The oil fraction remains in question and some of the oil-side development is expected to go through oleochemistry (probably more value-adding than biofuels), due to the expected abundance of palm oil.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 86%
“…Isermeyer concluded that the rapeseed protein fraction deserves more attention and that the discussion should focus on market segmentation. This conclusion was similar to that of the prospective scenario of vegetable oils and proteins 2030 presented by E. Pilorgé (Pilorgé and Muel, 2016): in the long term, food remains the basis of competitiveness of rapeseed, and attention must be maintained on food oil and proteins for animal feed, even food. The oil fraction remains in question and some of the oil-side development is expected to go through oleochemistry (probably more value-adding than biofuels), due to the expected abundance of palm oil.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 86%
“…The reason for the current situation is mainly the relatively low profitability of these legumes compared to other European field crops (de Visser et al 2014, Voisin et al 2014. However, in a policy context as described for our analysis, where feed use in Europe is restricted to exclusively regionally produced crops, legumes could gain competitiveness, due to their very high protein production levels per hectare (Pilorgé and Muel 2016) or positive effects on subsequent cereal crop yields in crop rotation systems. In addition, the production of legumes may have fertilizer saving effects and thus potentially reduce production costs (Reckling et al 2014).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This increase in price reflects rapidly growing demand for soy from China. Using analysis of scenarios, Pilorge and Muel (2016) indicated that the current high prices for plant protein are here to stay. It is reasonable to conclude that protein will remain valuable compared with carbohydrate and oil increasing the potential for legumes in Europe with protein yield per hectare being a key determinant of success.…”
Section: Forward Lookmentioning
confidence: 99%