In this study, a mathematical model for studying the dynamics of monkeypox virus transmission with non-pharmaceutical intervention is created, examined, and simulated using real-time data. Positiveness, invariance, and boundedness of the solutions are thus examined as fundamental features of mathematical models. The equilibrium points and the prerequisites for their stability are achieved. The basic reproduction number and thus the virus transmission coefficient ℜ0 were determined and quantitatively used to study the global stability of the model's steady state. Furthermore, this study considered the sensitivity analysis of the parameters according to ℜ0. The most sensitive variables that are important for infection control are determined using the normalized forward sensitivity index. Data from the United Kingdom collected between May and August 2022, which also aid in demonstrating the usefulness and practical application of the model to the spread of the disease in the United Kingdom, were used. In addition, using the Caputo–Fabrizio operator, Krasnoselskii's fixed point theorem has been used to analyze the existence and uniqueness of the solutions to the suggested model. The numerical simulations are presented to assess the system dynamic behavior. More vulnerability was observed when monkeypox virus cases first appeared recently as a result of numerical calculations. We advise the policymakers to consider these elements to control monkeypox transmission. Based on these findings, we hypothesized that another control parameter could be the memory index or fractional order.
The rising tide of smoking-related diseases has irreparably damaged the health of both young and old people, according to the World Health Organization. This study explores the dynamics of the age-structure smoking model under fractal-fractional (F-F) derivatives with government intervention coverage. We present a new fractal-fractional model for two-age structure smokers in the Caputo–Fabrizio framework to emphasize the potential of this operator. For the existence-uniqueness criterion of the given model, successive iterative sequences are defined with limit points that are the solutions of our proposed age-structure smoking model. We also use the functional technique to demonstrate the proposed model stability under the Ulam–Hyers condition. The two age-structure smoking models are numerically characterized using the Newton polynomial. We observe that in Groups 1 and 2, a change in the fractal-fractional orders has a direct effect on the dynamics of the smoking epidemic. Moreover, testing the inherent effectiveness of government interventions shows a considerable impact on potential, occasional, and temporary smokers when the fractal-fractional order is 0.95. It is the view that this study will contribute to the applicability of the schemes, the rich dynamics of the fractal, and the fractional perspective of future predictions.
The purpose of this research is to perform a comparative numerical analysis of an efficient numerical methods for second-order ordinary differential equations, by reducing the second-order ODE to a system of first-order differential equations. Then we obtain approximate solutions to the system of ODE. To validate the accuracy of the algorithm, a comparison between Euler's method and the Runge-Kutta method or order four was carried out and an exact solution was found to verify the efficiency, accuracy of the methods. Graphical representations of the parametric plots were also presented. Time inference analysis is taken to check the time taken to executes the algorithm in Mathematica®12.2.0. The obtained approximate solution using the algorithm shows that the Runge-Kutta method of order four is more efficient for solving system of linear ordinary differential equations.
In this paper, we obtain a new version of the proof of 1 nn and the Legendre duplicating formulas for positive integer n, by using a simple analytical technique
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