In a rather stationary fetch, one would not expect large waves in polar low situations. However, the picture changes when one considers a moving fetch. The significant wave heights that may be associated with the recorded polar lows on the Norwegian continental shelf from December 1999 to October 2015 are estimated using a one‐dimensional parametric wave model. A comparison of the measured and the forecasted significant wave heights in two recent polar low cases in the Barents Sea is presented. The estimated significant wave heights show that the values could have been up to and above 9 m. The forecasted significant wave heights considerably underestimated the measured significant wave heights in the two recent polar low cases that are considered. Furthermore, a generalization of the fetch‐limited wave equation in polar lows is proposed, which allows the wind field to vary in space and time, and is shown to give results that are consistent with the one‐dimensional parametric model.
A study of the wave conditions in the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea and the Barents Sea is presented in this paper. For each region, one reference location for which there are buoy measurements is selected. For the selected locations, WAM10 hindcast data are obtained from the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET Norway). The hindcast data for each location cover the period from 1957 to 2014. First, the hindcast datasets were validated against available buoy measurements — both for extreme value predictions and for application of hindcast data for planning of marine operations. The validation was carried out considering the winter season and the summer season separately. For each season, the datasets for two consecutive months were used. A comparison of the time-series of the hindcast datasets against the buoy measurements showed that the hindcast datasets compared relatively well with the buoy measurements. However, a comparison of the statistical parameters of the hindcast datasets against the buoy measurements showed that the hindcast datasets are slightly conservative in the estimate of the significant wave height for the Barents Sea and the Norwegian Sea. Overall, the data compared well, and the hindcast datasets are therefore considered in the following analysis. Hindcast data from these 57 years show that the wave conditions in the selected Norwegian Sea location is harsher than the wave conditions in both the North Sea and the Barents Sea locations. This is in agreement with the general expected spatial trend in the wave climate on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS). It was also observed that the wave conditions in the selected Barents Sea location are harsher than the wave conditions in the North Sea. These findings are also reflected in the NORSOK N-003 standard on “Actions and Action effects” (NORSOK, 2015). The weather windows for weather-sensitive marine operations, that is, operations with operational reference period not exceeding 72 hours, were established from the hindcast dataset for each of the locations. It was observed that the Norwegian Sea has shorter weather windows, especially in the winter seasons, compared to both the Barents Sea and the North Sea. It was expected that the operational windows would be shorter in the winter seasons in the Barents Sea, due to the occurrence of polar lows. However, the polar lows are few and cause more concern related to forecasting of the weather conditions to start actual marine operations. Generally, the month with the highest probability of weather windows exceeding 72 hours was found to be July for all three locations.
Steel catenary risers (SCRs) have found greater applications in deep and ultra-deepwater developments. However, the deployment of SCRs in conjunction with a high motion deepwater floater such as the Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) system faces significant challenges due to their high motion characteristics, especially in harsh environmental conditions. The challenges posed by FPSO’s high motion characteristics include severe dynamic response on the SCRs and poor fatigue performance at the top section and the touchdown point (TDP) area. A number of alternative configurations of the SCR can be employed to decouple the FPSO’s motion from the SCR, thereby improving performance, and this include the steel lazy wave riser (SLWR) configuration. The lazy wave is achieved by introducing buoyancy modules along some lengths of the riser. In this work, a suitable SLWR configuration for deployment in conjunction with a turret moored FPSO was developed for a typical deepwater offshore West of Shetland environmental conditions. The optimum configuration is a low lazy wave configuration; this was achieved after several analyses using ORCAFLEX software program. In determining the optimum configuration, consideration is given to the SLWR sag and hog bend heights, the net buoyancy force, the buoyant section length, and the hang-off angle, among others. The extreme response, considering a combination of 100-year wave with 10-year current was satisfactory; the maximum stress was below the allowable stress level, and the maximum DNV utilization was less than unity, indicating a safe design. The wave-induced fatigue damage was calculated using a total of 216 load cases, resulting from 12-wave directions, and the wave-induced fatigue performance was satisfactory, with the minimum fatigue life observed at the riser’s TPD. Fatigue damage resulting from vortex induced vibration (VIV) was calculated considering currents in the in-plane and the out-of-plane directions to the riser, with a total of 22 load cases. The VIV fatigue performance was not satisfactory, and therefore fairings and strakes will be introduced to some lengths of the SLWR to suppress VIV. Detailed sensitivity studies also showed how the configuration can be further optimized. Overall, the results of this study showed that, the SLWR is a suitable riser concept for deployment from a turret moored FPSO, in deepwater, harsh environmental conditions such as offshore West of Shetland. The riser can be installed using Reeled-Lay installation method. The installation can be performed using pre-lay, abandonment, and recovery, as this offers advantages over the direct transfer approach.
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