Context. The so-called light echoes of supernovae -the apparent motion of outburst-illuminated interstellar dust -can be detected in astronomical difference images; however, light echoes are extremely rare which makes manual detection an arduous task. Surveys for centuries-old supernova light echoes can involve hundreds of pointings of wide-field imagers wherein the subimages from each CCD amplifier require examination. Aims. We introduce ALED, a Python package that implements (i) a capsule network trained to automatically identify images with a high probability of containing at least one supernova light echo and (ii) routing path visualization to localize light echoes and/or light echo-like features in the identified images. Methods. We compared the performance of the capsule network implemented in ALED (ALED-m) to several capsule and convolutional neural networks of different architectures. We also applied ALED to a large catalogue of astronomical difference images and manually inspected candidate light echo images for human verification. Results. ALED-m was found to achieve 90% classification accuracy on the test set and to precisely localize the identified light echoes via routing path visualization. From a set of 13,000+ astronomical images, ALED identified a set of light echoes that had been overlooked in manual classification. ALED is available via github.com/LightEchoDetection/ALED.
Land suitability models for Canada are currently based on single-crop inventories and expert opinion. We present a data-driven multi-layer perceptron that simultaneously predicts the land suitability of several crops in Canada, including barley, peas, spring wheat, canola, oats, and soy. Available crop yields from 2013–2020 are downscaled to the farm level by masking the district level crop yield data to focus only on areas where crops are cultivated and leveraging soil-climate-landscape variables obtained from Google Earth Engine for crop yield prediction. This new semi-supervised learning approach can accommodate data from different spatial resolutions and enables training with unlabelled data. The incorporation of a crop indicator function further allows for the training of a multi-crop model that can capture the interdependences and correlations between various crops, thereby leading to more accurate predictions. Through k-fold cross-validation, we show that compared to the single crop models, our multi-crop model could produce up to a 2.82 fold reduction in mean absolute error for any particular crop. We found that barley, oats, and mixed grains were more tolerant to soil-climate-landscape variations and could be grown in many regions of Canada, while non-grain crops were more sensitive to environmental factors. Predicted crop suitability was associated with a region’s growing season length, which supports climate change projections that regions of northern Canada will become more suitable for agricultural use. The proposed multi-crop model could facilitate assessment of the suitability of northern lands for crop cultivation and be incorporated into cost-benefit analyses.
This study presents an artificial neural network based model that can simultaneously estimate land suitability for barley, peas, spring wheat, canola, oats, and soy in Canada leading to more accurate predictions than single-crop models. The novelties in the modelling method include using an indicator function which allows for a multivariate model to be trained, and a semi-supervised learning approach which allows for training with unlabelled data. The model performs well on land not used in the training set, as demonstrated by both K-fold cross-validation and a visual comparison of crop inventory to predicted land suitability in northern Alberta. The predicted suitability of crops correspond with a region's growing season length; this is in line with literature. Northern Canada is almost completely unused for agriculture, but this may change in the coming decades due to the climate becoming more favorable for agriculture. The model presented in this work can allow for a precise cost benefit analysis regarding environmental damage and economic benefits of cultivating new lands in Canada.
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