This paper presents time-dependent simulations of the response of the stratosphere to the injection into the atmosphere of massive amounts of sulfur during the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo (The Philippines) in June 1991. The study is based on a coupled two-dimensional chemical-dynamical-radiative model to which a microphysical model for sulfate aerosol formation and fate has been added. The study suggests that, during the first year (July 1991 to June 1992) following the volcanic eruption, the observed changes in the ozone amount integrated between 65øS and 65øN were caused primarily by changes in the meridional circulation (associated with heating by the volcanic cloud in the tropics) and in the photolysis rate of molecules such as ozone (associated with backscattering of light by the cloud). During the second year after the eruption, as the aerosol was dispersed at all latitudes and, in particular, reached the polar region, the largest contribution to ozone reduction resulted from the heterogeneous chemical conversion of N205 and C1ONO2 on the surface of the aerosol particles. The conversion of the latter compound, and hence the magnitude of the calculated ozone depletion, is highly dependent on the temperature in the lower stratosphere. Despite the fact that the surface area provided by aerosol particles decreased during the second year following the eruption, the calculated ozone depletion remained significant because the conversion of N9. O5 is insensitive to the aerosol surface area density for values larger than 1-10/zm2/cm 3 (depending on latitude). The predicted reduction in ozone at 20 km in March during the third year (July 1993 to June 1994) of the model integration is smaller by a factor of 2 than it was during the second year.
An interactive two‐dimensional model of the troposphere, stratosphere, and mesosphere, in which dynamics, radiation, and chemistry are treated interactively, is used to investigate the anthropogenic changes in the steady state chemical composition of the atmosphere since preindustrial times and to assess the associated changes in radiative forcing on climate. The perturbations in the atmospheric oxidation capacity due to anthropogenic emissions of source gases are found to be significant. In the troposphere, an ozone increase of 80–120% at northern midlatitudes and a global decrease of 10–20% in the OH concentration since the preindustrial period are calculated. In the polar lower stratosphere of the southern hemisphere, an ozone depletion since preindustrial times reaching more than 60% during spring is calculated as a result of rapid catalytical destruction of ozone by chlorine radicals in the presence of polar stratospheric clouds. Particular attention is given to the induced changes in radiative forcing. These results stress the potentially important role of chemical feedbacks on climate and indicate that the direct forcing associated with increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases is enhanced by about 30% when these feedbacks are taken into account. On a global average basis, the greenhouse effect of tropospheric ozone represents approximately 17% of the total radiative perturbation. This forcing is characterized by a strong latitudinal dependence, peaking at midlatitudes in the northern hemisphere. The importance of indirect climate forcings by stratospheric ozone (including local cooling of the stratosphere) is confirmed. It is found that the net (solar + infrared) indirect effect of stratospheric ozone changes is to increase the chlorofluorocarbon direct radiative forcing. On the other hand, the change in the longwave forcing associated with water vapor increase in the stratosphere appears to play a minor role.
The injection into the stratosphere of large quantities of sulfur during the June 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo (Philippines) and the subsequent formation of sulfate aerosol particles have generated a number of perturbations in the atmosphere with potential effects on the Earth's climate. Changes in the solar and infrared radiation budget caused by the eruption should produce a cooling of the troposphere and a warming of the lower stratosphere. These changes could affect atmospheric circulation. In addition, heterogeneous chemical reactions on the surface of sulfate aerosol particles render the ozone molecules more vulnerable to atmospheric chlorine and hence to man-made chlorofluorocarbons.
A coupled chemistry radiation transport two‐dimensional model of the lower and middle atmosphere was adapted to study the chemical composition of the atmosphere at preindustrial time and last glacial maximum (LGM). The model was constrained by trace gas concentrations (CO2, CH4, and N2O) inferred from polar ice core records. The formulation of tropospheric dynamics and chemistry was improved in order to more accurately simulate the transport and the oxidation processes below the tropopause. Our objectives are to infer the changes in middle‐atmosphere temperature, ozone layer, and oxidation capacity of the atmosphere (e.g., methane lifetime) over the last 18,000 years. A middle‐atmosphere cooling was obtained between LGM and preindustrial Holocene (PIH) as well as between PIH and present time. This is mainly due to changes in the CO2 and chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) concentrations, respectively. CFCs are also the main contributors to the middle‐atmosphere ozone decrease since PIH. Between LGM and PIH the compensating effects of CO2 and N2O lead to little variation in stratospheric ozone. A 17% decrease in tropospheric OH was obtained between LGM and PIH, whereas the model provides a 6% OH increase since PIH. The corresponding changes in the methane sink are too small to have played a dominant role in the past methane concentration changes. Our model derived methane emissions for LGM, PIH, and present time are in good agreement with methane sources evaluated during these three periods.
[1] We present a new approach for calculating the fraction of very-short lived substances (VSLS) emitted at the surface (and their degradation products) that reach the stratosphere (b) using the FLEXPART Lagrangian model. The values of b play a key role in determining the efficiency of these compounds for depleting stratospheric ozone, and are used to estimate ozone depletion potentials (ODPs) of several short-lived compounds. Calculated b and ODPs of VSLSs show large regional and seasonal variability owing to the importance of convective transport. For instance, b and ODPs associated with emissions from the Indian subcontinent is an order of magnitude larger than that from Europe, mid-latitude North America, or East Asia. The seasonal cycle of b is mainly driven by transport efficiency from the boundary layer into the tropical stratosphere; b has a minimum in winter and a maximum in summer.
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