We study supply contracts for deterministic demand but in an environment of uncertain prices. We develop valuation methodologies for different types of supply contracts. A "time-inflexible contract" requires the firm to specify not only how many units it will purchase, but also the timing of the purchase. A "time-flexible contract" allows the firm to specify the purchase amount over a given period of time without specifying the exact time of purchase. Other than time flexibility, the suppliers may offer "quantity flexibility" to the firm as well, i.e., purchase quantities could be within a prespecified quantity window. Finally, "risk-sharing" features can be incorporated in the contract in terms of the purchase price that the firm eventually pays to a supplier. Within a prespecified price window the firm pays the realized price, but outside of it the firm shares, in an agreed way, added costs or benefits. Given the structure of a supply contract, we study the firm's decision when to purchase and how many units in each purchase such that the expected net present value of the purchase cost plus inventory holding cost is minimized. We discuss optimal purchasing strategies for both time-flexible and time-inflexible contracts with risk-sharing features. Other interesting results include the analysis of two-supplier sourcing environments and the exploitation of quantity flexibility in such contracts. Our discussion illustrates how time flexibility, quantity flexibility, supplier selection, and risk sharing, when carefully exercised can effectively reduce the sourcing cost in environments of price uncertainty.supply contracts, global operations, flexibility, binomial lattice
Abstract. We present a framework for obtaining fully polynomial time approximation schemes (FPTASs) for stochastic univariate dynamic programs with either convex or monotone single-period cost functions. This framework is developed through the establishment of two sets of computational rules, namely, the calculus of K-approximation functions and the calculus of K-approximation sets. Using our framework, we provide the first FPTASs for several NP-hard problems in various fields of research such as knapsack models, logistics, operations management, economics, and mathematical finance. Extensions of our framework via the use of the newly established computational rules are also discussed.Key words. fully polynomial time approximation schemes, stochastic dynamic programming, K-approximation AMS subject classifications. 68Q25, 68W25, 90B05, 90B06, 90C15, 90C39, 90C40, 90C56, 90C59
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