It has been recently shown that spot volatilities can be very well modeled by rough stochastic volatility type dynamics. In such models, the log-volatility follows a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter smaller than 1/2. This result has been established using high frequency volatility estimations from historical price data. We revisit this finding by studying implied volatility based approximations of the spot volatility. Using at-the-money options on the S&P500 index with short maturity, we are able to confirm that volatility is rough. The Hurst parameter found here, of order 0.3, is slightly larger than that usually obtained from historical data. This is easily explained from a smoothing effect due to the remaining time to maturity of the considered options.
A simple mean-variance portfolio optimization problem in continuous time is solved using the mean field approach. In this approach, the original optimal control problem, which is time inconsistent, is viewed as the McKean-Vlasov limit of a family of controlled many-component weakly interacting systems. The prelimit problems are solved by dynamic programming, and the solution to the original problem is obtained by passage to the limit.
We propose a novel algorithm which allows to sample paths from an underlying price process in a local volatility model and to achieve a substantial variance reduction when pricing exotic options. The new algorithm relies on the construction of a discrete multinomial tree. The crucial feature of our approach is that – in a similar spirit to the Brownian Bridge – each random path runs backward from a terminal fixed point to the initial spot price. We characterize the tree in two alternative ways: (i) in terms of the optimal grids originating from the Recursive Marginal Quantization algorithm, (ii) following an approach inspired by the finite difference approximation of the diffusion's infinitesimal generator. We assess the reliability of the new methodology comparing the performance of both approaches and benchmarking them with competitor Monte Carlo methods.
In this note we consider a generalisation to the metric setting of the recent work [20].In particular, we show that under relatively weak conditions on a metric measure space (X, d, ν), it holds true that u(x) − u(y) d(x, y)where s is a generalised dimension associated to X and [•] L p w is the weak Lebesgue norm. We provide some counterexamples which show that our assumptions are optimal.Formula (1.3) has been later generalised for anisotropic norms on R N in [29].
The theory of affine processes has been recently extended to the framework of stochastic Volterra equations with continuous trajectories. These so-called affine Volterra processes overcome modeling shortcomings of affine processes because they can have trajectories whose regularity is different from the regularity of the paths of Brownian motion. More specifically, singular kernels yield rough affine processes. This paper extends the theory by considering affine stochastic Volterra equations with jumps. This extension is not straightforward because the jump structure together with possible singularities of the kernel may induce explosions of the trajectories.
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