A community waterborne nonbacterial gastroenteritis outbreak occurred in Eagle-Vail, Colorado in March 1981. Illness (defined as vomiting and/or diarrhea) was statistically associated with water consumption (X2 for linear trend = 7.07, p < .005). Five
In November 1981, an outbreak of waterborne giardiasis occurred at a popular ski resort in Colorado. Stratification of illness by consumption of municipal tap water showed a striking dose-response, with an attack rate of 42 per cent among persons who drank six or more glasses of water per day. Filtered water samples revealed Giardia cysts in specimens both before and after treatment, and several deficiencies were found in the water treatment facility. Residents who had lived in the area >2 years had a lower attack rate for illness than short-term residents. (Am J Public Health 1984; 74:602-604.)
Macroecologists and biogeographers continue to predict the distribution of species across space based on the relationship between biotic processes and environmental variables. This approach uses data related to, for example, species abundance or presence/absence, climate, geomorphology, and soils. Researchers have acknowledged in their statistical analyses the importance of accounting for the effects of spatial autocorrelation (SAC), which indicates a degree of dependence between pairs of nearby observations. It has been agreed that residual spatial autocorrelation (rSAC) can have a substantial impact on modeling processes and inferences. However, more attention should be paid to the sources of rSAC and the degree to which rSAC becomes problematic. Here, we review previous studies to identify diverse factors that potentially induce the presence of rSAC in macroecological and biogeographical models. Furthermore, an emphasis is put on the quantification of rSAC by seeking to unveil the magnitude to which the presence of SAC in model residuals becomes detrimental to the modeling process. It turned out that five categories of factors can drive the presence of SAC in model residuals: ecological data and processes, scale and distance, missing variables, sampling design, and assumptions and methodological approaches. Additionally, we noted that more explicit and elaborated discussion of rSAC should be presented in species distribution modeling. Future investigations involving the quantification of rSAC are recommended in order to understand when rSAC can have an adverse effect on the modeling process.
A waterborne nonbacterial gastroenteritis outbreak occurred in March 1981 in the Colorado communities served by the Eagle ‐Vail Water District. The outbreak was linked to a chlorinator failure as well as a long‐standing filter deficiency and malfunction of an upstream sewage treatment plant. Illness was statistically associated with water consumption. The direct costs for medical care, time lost from work, purchase of bottled water, and emergency repairs to the water treatment system were estimated to have been $258 231, or $73 per resident. Costs to rectify the problems discovered in the water treatment plant, including long‐term improvements, were almost $1.2 million.
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