Ageing population atau penuaan penduduk di masa mendatang akan menjadi isu yang krusial di Indonesia. Hasil proyeksi penduduk Indonesia mengindikasikan bahwa pada 2023 nanti jumlah penduduk Indonesia yang berada pada usia pensiun akan melebihi 7 persen dari total penduduk. Pada 2023 rasio ketergantungan tua akan melebihi 10 persen. Struktur penduduk Indonesia dalam waktu dekat akan menjadi yang disebut sebagai penuaan penduduk. Tujuan dari artikel ini adalah memberikan gambaran mengenai bonus demogra pertama, isu penuaan penduduk, dan bonus demogra kedua di Indonesia berdasarkan data dari proyeksi penduduk 2010-2035. Selanjutnya berdasarkan fakta tersebut, hendak dipaparkan implikasi ekonomi dan kebijakan-kebijakan yang harus diperhatikan oleh pemerintah.
AbstrakTujuan penelitian ini adalah menggambarkan kondisi ketahanan pangan rumah tangga di Provinsi Jawa Barat tahun 2012 dengan data Susenas dan menggunakan regresi order logistik. Selain itu, penelitian ini juga mencoba mencari faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi ketahanan pangan rumah tangga di Jawa Barat dengan sepuluh variabel independen (dummy perkotaan, dummy jenis kelamin, dummy status perkawinan, umur kepala rumah tangga, banyaknya jumlah anggota rumah tangga, rata-rata lama sekolah dari kepala rumah tangga, dummy kerja atau tidak, pengeluaran per kapita rumah tangga, dummy kelayakan sanitasi, dan dummy kondisi kumuh). Dari hasil penelitian diketahui bahwa tahun 2012 sebanyak 34 persen rumah tangga di Jawa Barat tergolong rumah tangga tahan pangan. Proporsi dari rumah tangga yang rawan pangan juga masih tinggi di provinsi ini, yaitu 15 persen dari total populasi. Selain itu, kesepuluh independen variabel secara statistik signifikan memengaruhi ketahanan pangan rumah tangga di Jawa Barat. Kata kunci: ketahanan pangan, rumah tangga, data Susenas AbstractThe objective of this research is to illustrate the condition of food security of household level in West Java Province in 2012 by using Susenas data and employing order logistics regression. Moreover, this research tries to explore the factors that affect the household food secure with using 10 independent variables (city dummy, sex dummy, marriage status dummy, age of the household head, the number household, mean years of school of the household head, work dummy, per capita mean expenditure, sanitation dummy, and slum area dummy). In 2002, the number of household in West Java Province with the level of food secure is about 34 percent of total population, however, the number of household with the level of food insecure still high, is about 15 percent of the total population. The output of the regression shows that all the independent variables are statistically significant influence the household food secure.
Indonesia entered a period of aging population in 2022 with the percentage of the elderly population reaching 7% and an elderly dependency ratio reaching 10%. This aging condition is experienced differently between provinces. Some provinces have entered this period, while others haven't. This study aims to describe the process of population aging at the provincial level as well as examine the causes of differences in population aging periods between provinces in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics covering 33 provinces in Indonesia in 2010, 2015, and 2020. Aggregate (macro) data were analyzed descriptively using the aging degree index to describe differences in the speed of the population aging process and by statistical inference using binary logistic method and panel data regression to identify causes of variations in population aging period between provinces. Logistic regression results show that provinces with characteristics of many residents migrating out, high population density, many people who already have proper sanitation, high per capita spending, and low unemployment rates, have the opportunity to enter a period of population aging more quickly than provinces without these criteria. Panel data regression results show that the aging population in Indonesia is more dominated by socioeconomic factors than demographic, health, and environmental factors. The results confirm that a holistic development approach must be pursued by the government. More attention should be given to demographic, health, and environmental aspects. Thus, population aging occurs in a quality manner accompanied by the welfare of the elderly population.
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