Estimating the basic reproductive ratio ℛ
0 of dengue fever has continued to be an ever-increasing challenge among epidemiologists. In this paper we propose two different constructions to estimate ℛ
0 which is derived from a dynamical system of host-vector dengue transmission model. The construction is based on the original assumption
that in the early states of an epidemic the infected human compartment increases exponentially at
the same rate as the infected mosquito compartment (previous work). In the first
proposed construction, we modify previous works by assuming that the rates of infection
for mosquito and human compartments might be different. In the second construction, we
add an improvement by including more realistic conditions in which the dynamics of an
infected human compartments are intervened by the dynamics of an infected mosquito compartment,
and vice versa. We apply our construction to the real dengue epidemic data from
SB Hospital, Bandung, Indonesia, during the period of outbreak Nov. 25, 2008–Dec. 2012.
We also propose two scenarios to determine the take-off rate of infection at the beginning
of a dengue epidemic for construction of the estimates of ℛ
0: scenario I from equation of new cases of dengue with respect to time (daily) and scenario II from equation of new cases
of dengue with respect to cumulative number of new cases of dengue. The results show that our first
construction of ℛ
0 accommodates the take-off rate differences between mosquitoes and humans. Our second construction of the ℛ
0 estimation takes into account the presence of infective mosquitoes in the early growth rate of infective humans and vice versa. We conclude that the second approach is more realistic, compared with our first approach and the previous work.
This study compares two hypnoteaching models used to teach students mathematics. Due to the increase in the use of these models, further vigorous studies are needed to verify their effects. This is a quasi-experiment research conducted to compare the use of the hypnoteaching model using three classes of students. The first, second, and third classes of 15, 13, and 15 students were randomly taught with the Erickson Hypnoteaching Model (Erickson-HM), Elman Hypnoteaching Model (Elman-HM), and conventional non-hypnoteaching model (CM), respectively. The results showed that students in the Erickson-HM group outperformed others, while those in the Elman-HM group performed better than their peers in the CM group. In addition, students in both hypnoteaching groups had higher motivation in learning than those in the CM group. Therefore, discussions and suggestions on hypnoteaching of math were proposed.
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