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In this paper we propose a stabilizing data-based model predictive controller for systems subject to constraints in which the prediction model is inferred from experimental data of the plant using a machine learning technique. The inference method is a modification of the kinky inference tailored for model predictive control. In particular, the modified method has a lower computational effort and provides smoother predictions than the original method. The controller formulation considers soft constraints in the outputs, hard constraints in the inputs and guarantees closed-loop robust stability as well as performance by means of the use of different control and prediction horizons and a weighted terminal cost. Under the assumption that the model of the system is Hölder continuous, we prove that the closed-loop system is input-to-state stable with respect to the estimation errors. The results are demonstrated in a case study of a continuously stirred-tank reactor.

Techniques known as Nonlinear Set Membership prediction, Lipschitz Interpolation or Kinky Inference are approaches to machine learning that utilise presupposed Lipschitz properties to compute inferences over unobserved function values. Provided a bound on the true best Lipschitz constant of the target function is known a priori they offer convergence guarantees as well as bounds around the predictions. Considering a more general setting that builds on Hölder continuity relative to pseudo-metrics, we propose an online method for estimating the Hölder constant online from function value observations that possibly are corrupted by bounded observational errors. Utilising this to compute adaptive parameters within a kinky inference rule gives rise to a nonparametric machine learning method, for which we establish strong universal approximation guarantees. That is, we show that our prediction rule can learn any continuous function in the limit of increasingly dense data to within a worst-case error bound that depends on the level of observational uncertainty. We apply our method in the context of nonparametric model-reference adaptive control (MRAC). Across a range of simulated aircraft roll-dynamics and performance metrics our approach outperforms recently proposed alternatives that were based on Gaussian processes and RBF-neural networks. For discrete-time systems, we provide guarantees on the tracking success of our learning-based controllers both for the batch and the online learning setting.

Techniques known as Nonlinear Set Membership prediction, Kinky Inference or Lipschitz Interpolation are fast and numerically robust approaches to nonparametric machine learning that have been proposed to be utilised in the context of system identification and learning-based control. They utilise presupposed Lipschitz properties in order to compute inferences over unobserved function values. Unfortunately, most of these approaches rely on exact knowledge about the input space metric as well as about the Lipschitz constant. Furthermore, existing techniques to estimate the Lipschitz constants from the data are not robust to noise or seem to be ad-hoc and typically are decoupled from the ultimate learning and prediction task. To overcome these limitations, we propose an approach for optimising parameters of the presupposed metrics by minimising validation set prediction errors. To avoid poor performance due to local minima, we propose to utilise Lipschitz properties of the optimisation objective to ensure global optimisation success. The resulting approach is a new flexible method for nonparametric black-box learning. We provide experimental evidence of the competitiveness of our approach on artificial as well as on real data.

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