Foresight approach has received increasing attention on future policy-making over a few decades. Adaptive foresight has recently emerged to emphasize the role of diverse individual actors and external development. With the highlight of the planning process with adaptive foresight approach, reflexive governance shows a good model for the proper structure of governance that urban foresight may seek. Still despite the importance of guiding orientation towards future, this was under-estimated in foresight studies. Hence, this paper suggests an integrated framework by considering urban resilience as a future orientation in which urban foresight may seek, with the combination of adaptive foresight and reflexive governance addressed by Weber (2006). On focusing adaptive foresight, reflexive governance, and urban resilience, this paper develops the analytical framework of urban foresight from various related literature to evaluate urban plans. As a case of an urban plan in megacity level, 2030 Seoul Plan, a 20-year long-term basic urban plan of Seoul, explicitly shows a remarkable and meaningful turn from conventional planning approaches to participatory foresight approaches, triggered by strong political leadership. This paper explores whole processes of 2030 Seoul Plan that has overcome the inertia of path dependency, and analyzes main drivers and barriers for this change. The analysis provides an insight regarding how the participatory urban foresight at megacity scale can be implemented. Four findings are mainly addressed in this study. First, integrated knowledge was generated among three main participants groups including citizens, experts, and different departments of Seoul Metropolitan Government (SMG). Also, the adaptivity of Proceedings of the 8th Conf. Int. Forum Urban.
C013strategies and institutions, as well as learning was developed during the processes of 2030 Seoul Plan. The new cooperative cultures and interactive strategies were developed by inclusive discussion among the participants. Learning the process can be also found from the processes, yielding positive outcomes. Thirdly, citizen participatory planning process makes the plan continuously regardless of the short-term electoral period. Finally, iterative and participatory goal formulation was planned but not yet implemented in 2030 Seoul Plan. As this was established recently, further research is required to look into this more thoroughly.
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