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Controlling the spread of an infectious disease depends critically on the general public's adoption of preventive measures. Theories of health behavior suggest that risk perceptions motivate preventive behavior. The supporting evidence for this causal link is, however, of questionable validity. The COVID-19 pandemic provides a rare opportunity to examine how risk perceptions, preventive behavior, and the link between them develop in a fast-changing risky environment. In a 4-wave longitudinal study conducted in the United States and China, we found that for Chinese participants, there was little relationship between risk perceptions and preventive behavior. This may be a result of the Chinese government's strict control and containment policies and a collectivistic culture that encourages conforming to norms-both of which limit individuals' nonconformist behavior. For U.S. participants, risk perceptions did motivate preventive behavior in the early stage of the pandemic; however, as time went by and the risk of COVID-19 persisted, preventive behavior also led to perception of higher infection risk, which in turn further motivated preventive behavior. Thus, instead of the presumed unidirectional influence from perception to behavior, our results indicate that the two could mutually reinforce each other. Overall, our findings suggest that risk perceptions-at least in the context of a dynamic health hazard-may only motivate preventive behavior at specific stages and under specific conditions. They also highlight the importance of early interventions in promoting preventive behavior.

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Background: Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) provides many challenges on the healthcare system. However, few studies have reported the epidemiology, particularly in a large population. Our study aimed to estimate the prevalence, incidence, trends, and patterns of diagnosed KOA in China. Methods: This was a longitudinal study. We used health insurance claims of 17.7 million adults from 2008–2017 to identify people with KOA. Trends in prevalence and incidence were analyzed using joinpoint regression. Results: We identified 2,447,990 people with KOA in Beijing, 60% of which were women. The 10-year average age-standardized prevalence and incidence of KOA was, respectively, 4.6% and 25.2 per 1000 person-years. Prevalence increased with age, surging after 55 years old. The average crude prevalence was 13.2% for people over 55 years old. The prevalence showed an increasing trend from 2008 to 2017, including a period of rapid rise from 2008 to 2011 (p < 0.05); the increase in prevalence was greatest in people under 35 years old (p < 0.05). Conclusion: Our analyses showed that the annual prevalence rate of KOA increased significantly from 2008 to 2017 in China. We need to increase our attention to women and the elderly over 55 years old, and also be alert to the younger trend of incidence of KOA.