Objectives-Progression of Alzheimer's dementia (AD) is highly variable. Most estimates derive from convenience samples from dementia clinics or research centers where there is substantial potential for survival bias and other distortions. In a population-based sample of incident AD cases, we examined progression of impairment in cognition, function, and neuropsychiatric symptoms, and the influence of selected variables on these domains.
Design-Longitudinal, prospective cohort study
Setting-Cache County (Utah)Participants-328 persons diagnosed with Possible/Probable AD
Measurements-Mini-Mental State Exam (MMSE), Clinical Dementia Rating sum-of-boxes (CDR-sb), and Neuropsychiatric Inventory (NPI).Results-Over a mean follow-up of 3.80 (range 0.07-12.90) years, the mean (S.D.) annual rates of change were −1.53 (2.69) on the MMSE, 1.44 (1.82) on the CDR-sb, and 2.55 (5.37) scale points on the NPI. Among surviving participants, 30-58% progressed less than one point/year on these measures, even 5-7 years after dementia onset. Rates of change were correlated between MMSE and CDR-sb (r=−0.62, df=201, p<0.001) and between the CDR-sb and NPI (r=0.20, df=206, p<0.004). Females (LR χ 2 =8.7, df=2, p=0.013) and those with younger onset (LR χ 2 =5.7, df=2, p=0.058) declined faster on the MMSE. Although one or more APOE ε4 alleles and ever-use of FDA-approved anti-dementia medications were associated with initial MMSE scores, neither was related to the rate of progression in any domain.Conclusions-A significant proportion of persons with AD progresses slowly. The results underscore differences between population-vs. clinic-based samples and suggest ongoing need to identify factors that may slow the progression of AD.
KeywordsAlzheimer's disease; dementia; cognition; neuropsychiatric symptoms; progression; decline Alzheimer's dementia (AD) is a significant cause of disability and mortality among the elderly. Some 26.6 million cases presently worldwide may increase to 106.2 million by 2050,(1) unless a means of prevention can be identified. Without a cure, better understanding of the clinical course and course-modifying factors is needed.AD causes impairment not only in cognition and function, but also in behavior prompted by neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS). Numerous studies report significant variability in the rate of cognitive and functional decline in AD. For example, a recent review reported that the mean annual rate of change (ARC) on the Mini-Mental State Exam (MMSE), a global measure of cognition, varied from 0.8 to 4.4 points.(2) Similar variability is seen in functional decline,(3) although comparisons across studies are impeded by differences in instrumentation. NPS in AD are marked by increasing incidence over time and by an episodic course. (4) These studies of the natural history of AD share several limitations. Most come from observations in clinics or clinical research centers. Compared to panels of AD cases ascertained from populations, clinic AD patients are up to 20 years younger, have higher Here, we d...