The precision and accuracy of any estimation can inform one whether to use or not to use the estimated values. It is the crux of the matter to many if not all statisticians. For this to be realized biases of the estimates are normally checked and eliminated or at least minimized. Even with this in mind getting a model that fits the data well can be a challenge. There are many situations where parametric estimation is disadvantageous because of the possible misspecification of the model. Under such circumstance, many researchers normally allow the data to suggest a model for itself in the technique that has become so popular in recent years called the nonparametric regression estimation. In this technique the use of kernel estimators is common. This paper explores the famous Nadaraya-Watson estimator and local linear regression estimator on the boundary bias. A global measure of error criterion-asymptotic mean integrated square error (AMISE) has been computed from simulated data at the empirical stage to assess the performance of the two estimators in regression estimation. This study shows that local linear regression estimator has a sterling performance over the standard Nadaraya-Watson estimator.
This study explores the estimation of finite population total. For many years design-based approach dominated the scene in statistical inference in sample surveys. The scenario has since changed with emergence of the other approaches (Model-Based, Model-Assisted and the Randomization-Assisted), which have proved to rival the conventional approach. This paper focuses on a model based approach. Within this framework a nonparametric regression estimator for finite population total is developed. The nonparametric technique has been found from previous studies to be advantageous than its parametric counterpart in terms of robustness and flexibility. Kernel smoother has been used in construction of the estimator. The challenge of the boundary problem encountered with the Nadaraya-Watson estimator has been addressed by modifying it using reflection technique. The performance of the proposed estimator has been compared to the design-based Horvitz Thompson estimator and the model –based nonparametric regression estimator proposed by (Dorfman, 1992) and the ratio estimator using simulated data.
In survey sampling statisticians often make estimation of population parameters. This can be done using a number of the available approaches which include design-based, model-based, model-assisted or randomization-assisted model based approach. In this paper regression estimation under model based approach has been studied. In regression estimation, researchers can opt to use parametric or nonparametric estimation technique. Because of the challenges that one can encounter as a result of model misspecification in the parametric type of regression, the nonparametric regression has become popular especially in the recent past. This paper explores this type of regression estimation. Kernel estimation usually forms an integral part in this type of regression. There are a number of functions available for such a use. The goal of this study is to compare the performance of the different nonparametric regression estimators (the finite population total estimator due Dorfman (1992), the proposed finite population total estimator that incorporates reflection technique in modifying the kernel smoother), the ratio estimator and the design-based Horvitz-Thompson estimator. To achieve this, data was simulated using a number of commonly used models. From this data the assessment of the estimators mentioned above has been done using the conditional biases. Confidence intervals have also been constructed with a view to determining the better estimator of those studied. The findings indicate that proposed estimator of finite population total that is nonparametric and uses data reflection technique is better in the context of the analysis done.
The idea of pooling samples into pools as a cost effective method of screening individuals for the presence of a disease in a large population is discussed. Group testing was designed to reduce diagnostic cost. Testing population in pools also lower misclassification errors in low prevalence population. In this study we violate the assumption of homogeneity and perfect tests by investigating estimation problem in the presence of test errors. This is accomplished through Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). The purpose of this study is to determine an analytical procedure for bias reduction in estimating population prevalence using group testing procedure in presence of tests errors. Specifically, we construct an almost unbiased estimator in pool-testing strategy in presence of test errors and compute the modified MLE of the prevalence of the population. For single stage procedures, with equal group sizes, we also propose a numerical method for bias correction which produces an almost unbiased estimator with errors. The existence of bias has been shown with the help of Taylor's expansion series, for group sizes greater than one. The indicator function with errors is used in the development of the model. A modified formula for bias correction has been analytically shown to reduce the bias of a group testing model. Also, the Fisher information and asymptotic variance has been shown to exist. We use MATLAB software for simulation and verification of the model. Then various tables are drawn to illustrate how the modified bias formula behaves for different values of sensitivities and specificities.
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