The correlation between
the spontaneous combustion tendency of
coal and its properties are of great importance for safety issues,
environmental concerns, and economic problems. In this study, the
relationship between multiple parameters, different from the previous
single parameter, and the spontaneous combustion tendency was analyzed.
The comprehensive judgment index (CJI), which indicates the tendency
of coal spontaneous combustion, was obtained for samples collected
from different mines. The CJI was measured by the cross-point temperature
and had a negative correlation with the spontaneous combustion tendency.
Physical pore structures and chemical functional groups were characterized
based on cryogenic nitrogen adsorption and Fourier transform infrared
spectroscopy measurements, respectively. For analyzing the effect
of coal properties on the spontaneous combustion tendency, the grey
relational grade was determined by the grey relational analysis between
the CJI and the pore structures and functional groups of coal. The
grey relational grade of the benzene substituent with CJI had a maximum
of 0.8642, and the macropores had the minimum, 0.4169. The higher
the gray relational grade was, the more relevant the spontaneous combustion
tendency was, indicating that the benzene substituent was the most
relevant. To better predict the spontaneous combustion tendency, the
average pore diameter, hydroxyl, methyl, methylene, and benzene substituent
with a high grey relational grade were selected. Finally, the multiple
regression prediction model of CJI was established. The
R
squared coefficient, significance level,
F
-distribution,
t
-distribution, collinearity diagnosis, and residual distribution
of the model met the requirements. In addition, two coal samples were
selected to verify the spontaneous combustion tendency model. The
relative errors between the predicted CJI value and the experimental
CJI value were 1.42 and 4.25%, respectively. These small relative
errors verified the reasonableness and validity of the prediction
model.