ABSTRAKTembakau adalah salah satu komoditas andalan dari Kabupaten Jember dan memiliki prospek yang baik ditinjau dari pengusahaan dan industri berbahan baku tembakau. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk 1) menganalisis daya saing tembakau kasturi di Kabupaten Jember; 2) menganalisis dampak kebijakan pemerintah terhadap output dan input dalam daya saing usaha tani tembakau kasturi di Kabupaten Jember, dan 3) menganalisis sensitivitas terhadap daya saing tembakau kasturi di Kabupaten Jember.Penentuan daerah sebagai sampel dilakukan secara purposive yaitu Kecamatan Kalisat yang merupakan kecamatan dengan jumlah produksi tembakau kasturi tertinggi di Kabupaten Jember. Data yang digunakan adalah data primer dan sekunder. Analisis data mengunakan Model Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) dan analisis sensitivitas.Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tembakau kasturi menguntungkan untuk diusahakan dan memiliki daya saing di pasar domestik maupun internasional. Hal ini dibuktikan dengan nilai rata-rata PCR dan DRCR yang bernilai kurang dari 1, yaitu masing-masing 0,34 dan 0,30. Kebijakan pada tradable inputs, yaitu subsidi pada pupuk, memberikan proteksi positif bagi petani, tetapi secara makro, dampak kebijakan bersifat disinsentif. Hal ini ditunjukkan dengan nilai koefisien EPC sebesar 0,90, NT sebesar – 8.406.980 ,PC sebesar 0,84, dan SRP sebesar - 0,104. Hasil simulasi penurunan harga output sebesar 50%, penurunan produktivitas sebesar 5%, dan kenaikan Upah Tenaga Kerja Jember sebesar 20% memperlihatkan perubahan yang nyata terhadap keunggulan kompetitif dan komparatif pada tembakau kasturi. Secara keseluruhan hasil simulasi perubahan tetap menyatakan bahwa tembakau kasturi tetap memiliki keunggulan kompetitif dan komparatif.Kata Kunci: Daya saing, Tembakau Kasturi, Kebijakan, PAM, Sensitivitas

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This study aims to analyze the factors that affect the household expenditure of rice farmers. The population in this study amounted to 573 farmers. The number of samples is determined by 10% of the population. The samples obtained in this study were 57 and rounded up to 60. The sample was selected by purposive sampling with criteria: farmers who own and cultivate the land. The data processing and analysis method used these tenuous equation 2 SLS with the thing of SPSS. The results showed that the factors that affect the household expenditure of farmers in Ketawang Village are as follows: 1) Food consumption blocks are influenced by disposable income, the number of household members and education investment. 2) Non-food consumption blocks are affected by disposable income, education investment and wife's education. 3) Production investment blocks are influenced by disposable income, education investment and total household consumption. 4) The education investment block is influenced by disposable income and the number of children in school. 5) The health investment block is influenced by disposable income, the number of household members, the wife's age and the husband's age.

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Cocoa is one of the plantation commodities whose role is quite important for the national economy of Indonesia. However, the cocoa industry faces several problems including the various risks involved in the cocoa supply chain. The aim of this study were: 1) Identifying risks in the cocoa supply chain 2) Analyzing the members of the supply chain with the highest risk 3) Evaluating and mitigating cocoa supply chain risks effectively and efficiently. An integrated analytic network process (ANP) and weighted failure mode effect analysis (WFMEA) method will be used to determine and analyze the highest risk in the cocoa supply chain. The results of the priority of the members of the value chain in the cocoa supply chain risk management are SMEs (0.43801), with the risk having the highest priority is production risk (0.29262) as well as alternative strategic priorities namely by increasing income (0.28754). The results of risk control are mainly focused on efforts to increase the income of cocoa farmers by utilizing cocoa processing byproducts such as cocoa bean pulp and cocoa pod husks. The cocoa bean pulp can be processed into nata products and cocoa juice, while the cocoa pod skin can be used as fertilizer.