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To test their hypothesis that the propensity to strike is affected less by the actual balance of bargaining power than by the parties' uncertainty about their relative power, the authors perform a probit analysis of data on 1871 collective agreements negotiated in the Canadian manufacturing sector between 1967 and 1982. They find, consistent with their hypothesis, that some characteristics of individual bargaining units, the relevant industries, and the economy as a whole that affect both the quantity and reliability of information needed to assess relative bargaining plower CIo have significant value in predicting strike incidence across industries and over time. A NALYSTS have attempted over the years to explain the variance in strike activity across industries and across time periods.'One of the main conceptual approaches to this question has relied essentially on the notion of bargaining power (Rees 1952;O'Brien 1965;Weintraub 1966;Knight 1972; Kaufman 1982). The proponents of this approach hold that strike activity is directly related to the relative bargaining power of labor unions. It is difficult, however, to agree with this approach if one assumes that the parties involved in wage negotiations are informed about changes Jean-Michel Cousineati is