The government agencies require accurate tourism demand forecasts to plan the required tourism infrastructure, such as accommodation location planning and transportation development. Tourism demand forecasts can be viewed from various factors, one of which is the number of tourists per period. Without ignoring the number of domestic tourists, the increasing number of foreign tourists is prioritized by the government to increase the country's foreign exchange. Usually, a tourist destination is to visit some tour objects and need some accommodation and hotel sites to rest. With this consideration, the forecasting number of foreign tourists can be done by using data on the number of tour objects, accommodation and hotel sites, foreign and domestic tourists from the previous period. Data on the number of domestic tourists used to measure the tendency of foreign tourists compared with domestic tourists to all existing tour objects. All data history can be viewed as time series data. Conventionally, many researchers have employed traditional methods of time series analysis, modeling, and forecasting such as ARX (Autoregressive with exogenous input) model. FIS (Fuzzy Inference System) is a system that processes the input mapping formulation provided to produce output using Fuzzy Logic. The aim of this study is to forecast the number of foreign tourists by using FIS through a training process conducted by adapting the number of linguistic variables. All the training data are modeled by using the ARX model.
Rural areas have actually extremely varied perspectives, each the prospective of natural deposits, social sources of the neighborhood, in addition to innovative sources of the regional neighborhood. The variety of these sources could be industrialized as a country community-based tourist item to enhance the well-being of the community. For this reason, this research was actually carried out towards identity as well as evaluate the current prospective to become utilized as a community-based tourist town item in Jembayan Tengah East Kalimantan Indonesia. The method technique utilized within this particular research study is actually the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique. This technique is actually utilized to analyze the concern range associated with elements of establishing traveler town beauty, community centers as well as tourist centers, tourist ease of access, as well as promo, in Jembayan Tengah East Kalimantan Indonesia. The outcomes revealed that the beauty element was actually one of the absolute most focused on elements along with the greatest rack up of 0.564 when compared with various other elements, specifically centers, promo elements, and ease of access. While the requirements that end up being the concern of advancement are actually the requirements for all-organic tourist destinations along with the greatest 0.495 when compared with various other requirements, specifically the requirements for transport centers, tourist centers, as well as promo utilizing digital media.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui strategi yang tepat dalam melakukan promosi bagi Desa Batuah Kecamatan Loa Janan Kabupaten Kutai Kartanegara. Dengan demikan diharapkan para pengelola desa dapat melakukan hal yang sesuai untuk memperkenalkan desa ini menjadi daerah tujuan wisata. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode wawancara secara mendalam dan dilakukan analisis deskriptif kualitif. Adapun langkah-langkah analisis data meliputi reduksi data, penyajian data, dan verifikasi. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa potensi yang dimiliki Desa Batuah sangat cocok untuk dikembangkan desa wisata berbasis agrowisata. Strategi yang cocok untuk melakukan promosi adalah menggunakan media sosial.
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