responsible for decreased landings. Yield and spawning per recruitment analyses indicate current fishing pressure to be higher than several reference points. We suggest that fishing pressure needs to be reduced by at least 20% of the current level for this fishery to remain sustainable, as the projected stock abundance and catch demonstrate that the current fishing pressure is unsustainable. Analysis of time-series data of recruits per spawning revealed spring-brood recruitment to have been strong in year classes 2003 and 2005. Of various options available for improved management of this fishery, we propose that fishing pressure should be reduced in the years following the appearance of strong year classes to increase future biomasses and landings. Keywords Spawning season · Strong year class · Virtual population analysis · Stock management · Stock abundance IntroductionHairtail Trichiurus japonicas is a widely distributed commercially exploited fish species found around Japan and the waters of the Yellow, Bohai, and East China Seas [1]. Several major fishing grounds exist around Japan, including the East China Sea, the western region of the Sea of Japan, and the waters around the Kii and Bungo Channels (Fig. 1). Though large numbers of hairtail were landed from both the East China Sea and western region of the Sea of Japan [2,3] in the 1960s, the annual catch in these areas has decreased since the 1970s. However, landings of hairtail from waters around the Bungo Channel have increased from the 1970s, increasing the importance of these fishing grounds (Fig. 2). Waters within and around the Bungo Channel provide an important hairtail habitat, where most of the life cycle of this Abstract Declines in landings of the hairtail Trichiurus japonicas indicate the need for more effective management of this species. Hairtail spawning peaks occur twice yearly in the Bungo Channel, in spring and autumn. Relationships between hairtail stock and brood seasonality were examined to determine if an association between either and a decline in landings existed. Stock assessments show that the biomass of both spring and autumn hairtail broods from within and around the Bungo Channel are decreasing, with a rapid reduction in spring-brood stock abundance after 2007 largely . The spring brood comprises individuals spawned during the first peak (May-June), and the autumn brood those spawned during the second peak (September-October). In both broods the annual otolith ring forms from June to August, and thus the radius of the first annual ring in the spring brood is greater than that of the autumn brood. Consequently, spawning season can be determined for each fish, even for older individuals, based on the first otolith ring radius [4,5]. This characteristic has also been observed in hairtail from other areas [1,6,7]. Because of decreased winter growth, an age-length relationship using an extended von Bertalanffy growth model that takes seasonal growth variation into consideration using a periodic function is more suitable than a trad...

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Early life survival is critical to successful replenishment of fish populations, and hypotheses developed under the Growth‐Survival Paradigm (GSP) have guided investigations of controlling processes. The GSP postulates that recruitment depends on growth and mortality rates during early life stages, as well as their duration, after which the mortality declines substantially. The GSP predicts a shift in the frequency distribution of growth histories with age towards faster growth rates relative to the initial population because slow‐growing individuals are subject to high mortality (via starvation and predation). However, mortality data compiled from 387 cases published in 153 studies (1971–2022) showed that the GSP was only supported in 56% of cases. Selection against slow growth occurred in two‐thirds of field studies, leaving a non‐negligible fraction of cases showing either an absence of or inverse growth‐selective survival, suggesting the growth‐survival relationship is more complex than currently considered within the GSP framework. Stochastic simulations allowed us to assess the influence of key intrinsic and extrinsic factors on the characteristics of surviving larvae and identify knowledge gaps on the drivers of variability in growth‐selective survival. We suggest caution when interpreting patterns of growth selection because changes in variance and autocorrelation of individual growth rates among cohorts can invalidate fundamental GSP assumptions. We argue that breakthroughs in recruitment research require a comprehensive, population‐specific characterization of the role of predation and intrinsic factors in driving variability in the distribution and autocorrelation of larval growth rates, and of the life stage corresponding to the endpoint of pre‐recruited life.

effects of various management scenarios were evaluated by the operating model. We found that co-ordinated management by both the trolling line fishery and purse seiners in the neighbouring prefecture was required to achieve targets. Two realistic scenarios are recommended: a conservative scenario that could achieve targets even with few strong year classes, and an adaptive scenario that protects strong year classes, but relies on a higher frequency of these. We shared these results with the local fishers and government officers, which led to actual improvements in management measures. Keywords Operating model · Strong year classes · Adaptive management · Fish distribution · Food cultureAbstract Under the coastal fisheries co-management regime in Japan, local fishers play important roles in deciding on and implementing local management measures. Therefore, using the case study of a hairtail trolling line fishery, we conducted a transdisciplinary research with fishers, processors, government officers, etc. Taking social and biological factors into account, we defined management criteria and targets (resource, economic, human community, and local food culture) in collaboration with local fishers. We chartered local fishing vessels to determine parameters that were easily understood by local fishers. We established a local consultative committee comprising fishers, processors, and distributors, and developed a fish distribution strategy to nurture the local hairtail food culture. The integrated

undersized and immature female individuals. The number of fish caught, yield, and composition of commercial size grades per recruitment were calculated from field data for each lure and compared. The catch sizes (number of fish per recruitment) were smaller for type-2 and type-3 than for type-1, but yield per recruitment was higher for type-3 than for type-1. Compared with type-1, type-2 and type-3 caught more large individuals, which are more valuable. The newly developed artificial bait conserves hairtail stocks by targeting larger fish, which is economically beneficial for the hairtail trolling line fishery.