The full-text may be used and/or reproduced, and given to third parties in any format or medium, without prior permission or charge, for personal research or study, educational, or not-for-prot purposes provided that:• a full bibliographic reference is made to the original source • a link is made to the metadata record in DRO • the full-text is not changed in any way The full-text must not be sold in any format or medium without the formal permission of the copyright holders.Please consult the full DRO policy for further details. AbstractOn 2017 August 21, a total solar eclipse swept across the contiguous United States, providing excellent opportunities for diagnostics of the Sun's corona. The Sun's coronal structure is notoriously difficult to observe except during solar eclipses; thus, theoretical models must be relied upon for inferring the underlying magnetic structure of the Sun's outer atmosphere. These models are necessary for understanding the role of magnetic fields in the heating of the corona to a million degrees and the generation of severe space weather. Here we present a methodology for predicting the structure of the coronal field based on model forward runs of a solar surface flux transport model, whose predicted surface field is utilized to extrapolate future coronal magnetic field structures. This prescription was applied to the 2017 August 21 solar eclipse. A post-eclipse analysis shows good agreement between model simulated and observed coronal structures and their locations on the limb. We demonstrate that slow changes in the Sun's surface magnetic field distribution driven by long-term flux emergence and its evolution governs large-scale coronal structures with a (plausibly cycle-phase dependent) dynamical memory timescale on the order of a few solar rotations, opening up the possibility for large-scale, global corona predictions at least a month in advance.

Magnetic clouds (MCs) are flux rope magnetic structures forming a subset of solar coronal mass ejections, which have significant space weather impacts. The geoeffectiveness of MCs depends on their properties, which evolve during their interplanetary passage. Based on an analysis of observations spanning two solar cycles, we establish that MCs interacting with the ambient solar wind magnetic field (i.e., heliospheric open flux) lose a substantial amount of their initial magnetic flux via magnetic reconnection, which, in some cases, reduce their geoeffectiveness. We find a linear correlation between the eroded flux of MCs and solar open flux which is consistent with the scenario that MC erosion is mediated via the local heliospheric magnetic field draping around an MC during its interplanetary propagation. The solar open flux is governed by the sunspot cycle. This work therefore uncovers a hitherto unknown pathway for solar cycle modulation of the properties of MCs.Plain Language Summary Vast eruptions of magnetized plasma from the Sun known as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the main contributors to severe space weather conditions. The magnetic properties of CMEs-which determine their geoeffectiveness-evolve during their interplanetary journey. Therefore, it is important to understand the physical processes that govern their evolution. Based on in situ satellite observations, and modeling here, we provide evidence that the magnetic flux of CME associated magnetic clouds erode over their interplanetary journey due to reconnection with the ambient heliospheric open flux. We also demonstrate that this flux erosion impacts the geoeffectiveness of magnetic clouds in some cases. This mechanism establishes a novel connection between the solar cycle variation of the heliospheric open flux and space weather in the vicinity of solar system planets.

The activity of stars such as the Sun varies over timescales ranging from the very short to the very long—stellar and planetary evolutionary timescales. Experience from our solar system indicates that short-term, transient events such as stellar flares and coronal mass ejections create hazardous space environmental conditions that impact Earth-orbiting satellites and planetary atmospheres. Extreme events such as stellar superflares may play a role in atmospheric mass loss and create conditions unsuitable for life. Slower, long-term evolutions of the activity of Sun-like stars over millennia to billions of years result in variations in stellar wind properties, radiation flux, cosmic ray flux, and frequency of magnetic storms. This coupled evolution of star-planet systems eventually determines planetary and exoplanetary habitability. The Solar Evolution and Extrema (SEE) initiative of the Variability of the Sun and Its Terrestrial Impact (VarSITI) program of the Scientific Committee on Solar-Terrestrial Physics (SCOSTEP) aimed to facilitate and build capacity in this interdisciplinary subject of broad interest in astronomy and astrophysics. In this review, we highlight progress in the major themes that were the focus of this interdisciplinary program, namely, reconstructing and understanding past solar activity including grand minima and maxima, facilitating physical dynamo-model-based predictions of future solar activity, understanding the evolution of solar activity over Earth’s history including the faint young Sun paradox, and exploring solar-stellar connections with the goal of illuminating the extreme range of activity that our parent star—the Sun—may have displayed in the past, or may be capable of unleashing in the future.

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