Explosive growth in computing power has made Bayesian methods for infinite-dimensional models - Bayesian nonparametrics - a nearly universal framework for inference, finding practical use in numerous subject areas. Written by leading researchers, this authoritative text draws on theoretical advances of the past twenty years to synthesize all aspects of Bayesian nonparametrics, from prior construction to computation and large sample behavior of posteriors. Because understanding the behavior of posteriors is critical to selecting priors that work, the large sample theory is developed systematically, illustrated by various examples of model and prior combinations. Precise sufficient conditions are given, with complete proofs, that ensure desirable posterior properties and behavior. Each chapter ends with historical notes and numerous exercises to deepen and consolidate the reader's understanding, making the book valuable for both graduate students and researchers in statistics and machine learning, as well as in application areas such as econometrics and biostatistics.
We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes
estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent
nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence
of the posterior measure relative to distances derived from a testing
criterion. We then specialize our results to independent, nonidentically
distributed observations, Markov processes, stationary Gaussian time series and
the white noise model. We apply our general results to several examples of
infinite-dimensional statistical models including nonparametric regression with
normal errors, binary regression, Poisson regression, an interval censoring
model, Whittle estimation of the spectral density of a time series and a
nonlinear autoregressive model.Comment: Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/009053606000001172 in the
Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
We show that rate-adaptive multivariate density estimation can be performed using Bayesian methods based on Dirichlet mixtures of normal kernels with a prior distribution on the kernel's covariance matrix parameter. We derive sufficient conditions on the prior specification that guarantee convergence to a true density at a rate that is optimal minimax for the smoothness class W. SHEN, S.T. TOKDAR AND S. GHOSAL to which the true density belongs. No prior knowledge of smoothness is assumed. The sufficient conditions are shown to hold for the Dirichlet location mixture of normals prior with a Gaussian base measure and an inverse-Wishart prior on the covariance matrix parameter. Locally Hölder smoothness classes and their anisotropic extensions are considered. Our study involves several technical novelties, including sharp approximation of finitely differentiable multivariate densities by normal mixtures and a new sieve on the space of such densities.
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