BackgroundIn the past decade, fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF23) has been recognized as an important biomarker of cardiovascular diseases. This study aimed to assess the relationship between FGF23 and the risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in general populations.MethodsThe protocol was registered prospectively in PROSPERO (CRD42021281837) and two authors independently searched for relevant studies in the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. The random effects model was applied.ResultsIn total, 29 prospective studies involving 135,576 participants were included. In the general population, the category analysis revealed that elevated FGF23 levels were related to increased risks of myocardial infarction (MI) (RR: 1.40, 95%CI: 1.03−1.89), stroke (RR: 1.20, 95%CI: 1.02−1.43), heart failure (HF) (RR: 1.37, 95%CI: 1.23−1.52), CVD events (RR: 1.22, 95%CI: 0.99−1.51), cardiovascular mortality (RR: 1.46, 95%CI: 1.29−1.65), and all-cause mortality (RR: 1.50, 95%CI: 1.29−1.74). In the continuous analysis, per doubling of FGF23 was associated with increased risks of MI (RR: 1.08, 95%CI: 0.94−1.25), stroke (RR: 1.21, 95%CI: 0.99−1.48), HF (RR: 1.24, 95%CI: 1.14−1.35), CVD events (RR: 1.12, 95%CI: 0.99−1.27), cardiovascular mortality (RR: 1.43, 95%CI: 1.09−1.88), all-cause mortality (RR: 1.37, 95%CI: 1.15−1.62). Furthermore, the dose-response analysis demonstrated a potentially non-linear relationship between FGF23 and stroke, HF, and all-cause mortality. In contrast, a potentially linear relationship between FGF23 and cardiovascular mortality was observed (p for non-linearity = 0.73).ConclusionThe present study suggests that increased serum FGF23 levels are positively related to CVD events and mortality in the general population. The clinical application of FGF23 levels to predict CVD risk requires further research.

Background and objectiveGrowth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) and fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF-23) are considered predictors of the incidence of cardiovascular diseases. The present meta-analysis aimed to elucidate the associations between GDF-15 and FGF-23 in the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF).MethodsAn electronic search was conducted in the Cochrane Library, PubMed, and Embase databases from inception until February 27, 2021. The study protocol was registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42020182226).ResultsIn total, 15 studies that enrolled 36,017 participants were included. Both serum FGF-23 and GDF-15 were elevated in patients with AF. Analysis of categorical variables showed higher serum FGF-23 levels were associated with an increased risk of AF [relative risk (RR) = 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.05–1.56]. In contrast, this association was not found with GDF-15 (RR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.20–4.04). In dose-response analysis, a linear positive association was noted between serum FGF-23 levels and the risk of AF (P nonlinear = 0.9507), with a RR elevation of 7% for every 20 pg/ml increase in the serum FGF-23 levels (95% CI: 1.02–1.13). No remarkable relationship was found between serum GDF-15 levels and the risk of AF, and the overall RR for the association between a 100 ng/L increment in GDF-15 levels and AF was 1.01 (95% CI: 0.998–1.02).ConclusionOur study showed a positive linear correlation between serum FGF-23 levels and the risk of AF. However, no significant association was found between GDF-15 and the risk of AF. Further studies are warranted to clarify whether serum FGF-23 levels may be considered in predicting the risk of AF.Systematic Review Registration:http:www.york.ac.uk/inst/crd, identifier CRD42020182226.

ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to evaluate the shape of the dose-response relationship between body mass index (BMI) and atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence in patients who have undergone radiofrequency ablation.MethodsStudies investigating BMI and AF recurrence in patients with AF after ablation were identified through electronic searches in the PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases. The potential non-linear relationship was fitted using robust error meta-regression. Our study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019121373).ResultsTwenty-six cohort studies with 7,878 cases/26,450 individuals were included, and a linear dose-response relationship between BMI and AF recurrence (Pnon–linearity = 0.12) was found. The risk of AF recurrence in patients with a BMI over 28 was significantly increased. Specifically, for each 5 kg/m2 increase in BMI, the risk of AF recurrence increased by 15% (95% CI: 1.08–1.22) with moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 53%). Subgroup analyses showed that the pooled risk ratio was not significantly changed in subgroup analysis adjustment for the following important potential intermediate factors: left atrial diameter and obstructive sleep apnea.ConclusionThis study showed that there is a borderline positive linear association between BMI and AF recurrence post ablation. Overweight and obesity are significantly associated with AF recurrence.Systematic review registrationhttps://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier CRD42019128770.