Backgrounds The goal of this study is to explore the transmission dynamics for recent large-scale COVID-19 outbreaks in Shaanxi Province on the Chinese mainland. Furthermore, the potential effects of the Spring Festival travel rush on the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic were depicted. Methods This study uses baseline data from a large cohort to investigate the characteristics of the recent COVID-19 epidemic in Shaanxi province. A cluster sampling method was used to recruit the study participants during the COVID-19 pandemic in Shaanxi province since Dec. 1st, 2022. A total of 44 sampling cluster (11 village in rural areas and 33 residences in urban areas) were chosen for enrollment of study participants. A self-developed questionnaire was applied to data collection of socio-demographic and COVID-19 pandemic related information. Results A total of 14,744 study participants were enrolled in the baseline survey and 12,111 completed survey data were extracted for analysis. The cumulative infection attack rate (IAR) of COVID-19 among the study participants was 84.7%. The cumulative IAR in urban and rural areas were 85.6% and 83.7%, respectively. A peak of COVID-19 self-reported diagnosis could be observed from Dec. 15th, 2022 to Jan. 1st, 2023 in the provincial level. Beside this major peak of the recent epidemic (around Dec.20th, 2022), a small but steep rise could also be identified between Jan 13th to 14th, 2023. Individuals who escaped the first wave of COVID-19 outbreaks may face danger of infection from returnees during the 2023 Spring Festival. Conclusion According to the COVID-19 cumulative IAR data, the herd community was primarily achieved in Shaanxi province's urban and rural areas. The epidemic in Shaanxi province has been exacerbated by mass population movement during the Spring Festival travel rush in both urban and rural areas. Further surveillance should be performed to monitor the spread of SARS-CoV-2 infections.
Background Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is a severe complication of diabetes. Currently, no effective measures are available to reduce the risk of DKD progression. This study aimed to establish a weighted risk model to determine DKD progression and provide effective treatment strategies. Methods This was a hospital-based, cross-sectional study. A total of 1104 patients with DKD were included in this study. The random forest method was used to develop weighted risk models to assess DKD progression. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to validate the models and calculate the optimal cutoff values for important risk factors. Results We developed potent weighted risk models to evaluate DKD progression. The top six risk factors for DKD progression to chronic kidney disease were hemoglobin, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), serum uric acid (SUA), plasma fibrinogen, serum albumin, and neutrophil percentage. The top six risk factors for determining DKD progression to dialysis were hemoglobin, HbA1c, neutrophil percentage, serum albumin, duration of diabetes, and plasma fibrinogen level. Furthermore, the optimal cutoff values of hemoglobin and HbA1c for determining DKD progression were 112 g/L and 7.2%, respectively. Conclusion We developed potent weighted risk models for DKD progression that can be employed to formulate precise therapeutic strategies. Monitoring and controlling combined risk factors and prioritizing interventions for key risk factors may help reduce the risk of DKD progression.
Background: Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a complex disorder, and its risk is influenced by multiple genetic and environmental factors. In this study, an AD risk gene prediction framework based on spatial and temporal features of gene expression data (STGE) was proposed. Methods: We proposed an AD risk gene prediction framework based on spatial and temporal features of gene expression data. The gene expression data of providers of different tissues and ages were used as model features. Human genes were classified as AD risk or non-risk sets based on information extracted from relevant databases. Support vector machine (SVM) models were constructed to capture the expression patterns of genes believed to contribute to the risk of AD. Results: The recursive feature elimination (RFE) method was utilized for feature selection. Data for 64 tissue-age features were obtained before feature selection, and this number was reduced to 19 after RFE was performed. The SVM models were built and evaluated using 19 selected and full features. The area under curve (AUC) values for the SVM model based on 19 selected features (0.740 [0.690-0.790]) and full feature sets (0.730 [0.678-0.769]) were very similar. Fifteen genes predicted to be risk genes for AD with a probability greater than 90% were obtained. Conclusion: The newly proposed framework performed comparably to previous prediction methods based on protein-protein interaction (PPI) network properties. A list of 15 candidate genes for AD risk was also generated to provide data support for further studies on the genetic etiology of AD.
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