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Background: To investigate the prognostic survival factors of breast squamous cell carcinoma (BSqCC) and develop a comprehensive nomogram for predicting the survival of breast cancer squamous cell carcinoma. Methods: Data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to identify patients diagnosed with BSqCC from 1973 to 2015. The data was obtained using SEER Stat 8.3.4 software, collated, and analyzed by Excel 2016 software and SPSS (v25.0). Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. The variables obtained by univariate analysis were introduced into the Cox proportional hazard model for multivariate analysis. The risk factors affecting the prognosis of BSqCC were obtained. P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. The independent prognostic factors of BSqCC were integrated and used to construct nomograms.Results: A total of 739 patients with BSqCC was included. The median age of diagnosis was 66 years. In most cases, the expression of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) was negative. One-third of the cases underwent breast-conserving surgery, and more than half of the cases underwent mastectomy (unilateral or bilateral). The 1-year survival rate was 81.2%, the 3-year survival rate was 62.9%, the 5-year survival rate was 54.4%, and the 10-year survival rate was 41.4%. Age (χ 2 =71.050, P<0.001), marital status (χ 2 =37.560, P<0.001), tumor size (χ 2 =27.931, P<0.001), surgical procedure (χ 2 =74.185, P<0.001), the number of positive lymph nodes (χ 2 =38.542, P<0.001), and the primary site (χ 2 =59.217, P<0.001) were significantly correlated with patient survival time. Among them,
The database of BRCA1/2 mutations in Chinese population remains incomplete at present. Therefore, the present study aimed to report specific harmful BRCA1/2 mutations in the Chinese population and discuss the clinicopathological features in mutation carriers. BRCA1/2 germline mutation tests for 71 patients with breast cancer from a hereditarily high-risk Chinese population were performed using next-generation sequencing for identification of deleterious mutations. Furthermore, the clinicopathological features between BRCA1/2 mutation carriers and non-carriers were compared. A total of 13/71 (18.3%) patients carried a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation (7 BRCA1 and 6 BRCA2). The incidence of BRCA1/2 mutation in patients with bilateral breast cancer and patients with family history were 25, and 32.2%, respectively. Eleven pathogenic or likely pathogenic mutations were identified in 13 patients, among the mutation sites 7 were never reported before in Asian populations. The age at diagnosis of BRCA1/2 mutation carriers was older compared with non-mutation carriers (44.73 vs. 35.39 years; P=0.001) in this cohort. BRCA1/2 deleterious mutation carriers had a significantly lower chance of human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (Her-2) positive status (P=0.010), higher tumor grade at diagnosis (P=0.009), higher probability to have a family history (P=0.016) and older age at diagnosis. Estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) status were significantly different between BRCA1, and BRCA2 mutation carriers (P=0.007). The current interpretation of BRCA1/2 status can only explain a small part of hereditary high-risk breast cancer. However, BRCA1/2 gene testing should still be recommended for women with a family history of breast cancer, as well as patients with breast cancer with specific pathologic types, which may be useful to make appropriate clinical decisions for treatment and prevention.
Background The purpose of this study was to explore a new estrogen receptor (ER) and/or progesterone receptor (PR)+ and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)− breast cancer prognostic model, called the extended Cox prognostic model, for determining the cutoff values for multiple continuous prognostic factors and their interaction via the new model concept and variable selection method. Methods A total of 335 patients with ER/PR+ and HER2− breast cancer were enrolled for the final analysis. The primary endpoint was breast cancer-specific mortality (BCSM). Prognostic factors (histological grade, histological type, stage, T, N, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), P53, Ki67, ER, PR, and age) were included in this study. The four continuous variables (Ki67, ER, PR, and age) were partitioned into a series of binary variables that were fitted in the multivariate Cox analysis. A smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) variable selection method was used. Model performance was expressed in discrimination and calibration. Results We developed an extended Cox model with a time threshold of 164-week (more than 3 years) postoperation and developed a user-friendly nomogram based on our extended Cox model to facilitate clinical application. We found that the cutoff values for PR, Ki67, and age were 20%, 60%, and 41–55 years, respectively. There was an interaction between age and PR for patients aged ≥ 41 years and PR ≥ 20% at 164-week postoperation: the older the patients with ER/PR+, HER2−, and PR ≥ 20% were, the lower the survival and more likely to recur and metastasize exceeding 164 weeks (more than 3 years) after surgery. Conclusions Our study offers guidance on the prognosis of patients with ER/PR+ and HER2− breast cancer in China. The new concept can inform modeling and the determination of cutoff values of prognostic factors in the future.
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