Analisis Determinan Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Pulau Jawa Tahun 2007-2016

Abstract

AbstrakPengangguran merupakan masalah yang kompleks karena mempengaruhi sekaligus dipengaruhi oleh banyak faktor yang saling berinteraksi mengikuti pola yang tidak mudah untuk dipahami. Masalah pengangguran merupakan salah satu akibat dari adanya fenomena ekonomi yang terjadi. Besarnya angka pengangguran dapat dipengaruhi oleh beberapa indikator antara lain besarnya upah yang berlaku, PDRB, dan tingkat inflasi. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui seberapa besar pengaruh PDRB, Upah Minimum Provinsi dan tingkat inflasi terhadap pengangguran terbuka di setiap provinsi di Pulau Jawa Tahun 2007-2016. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah model regresi data panel dengan menggunakan pendekatan Fixed Effect Model (FEM). Hasil regresi data panel menunjukkan secara simultan bahwa variabel variabel independen PDRB, Upah Minimum Provinsi, dan inflasi berpengaruh signifikan terhadap variabel dependen tingkat pengangguran terbuka. Hasil analisis uji parsial menunjukkan bahwa PDRB memiliki pengaruh signifikan, Sedangkan Upah Minimum Provinsi dan Inflasi memiliki pengaruh yang tidak signifikan terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka periode tahun 2007-2016. Total variasi tingkat pengangguran terbuka di provinsi Pulau Jawa mampu dijelaskan oleh variabel-variabel independen PDRB, UMP dan inflasi sebesar 93,35%. AbstractUnemployment is a complex problem because it's affecting and influenced by many factors that interact with each other following patterns that are not easy to understand. The problem of unemployment is the one result of the existence of economic phenomena that occur. The rate of unemployment can be influenced by several indicators, such as the amount of prevailing wage, The GDP, and inflation rate. The aim of this research is to know how big influence of the GDP, Province Minimum Wage and inflation rate on open unemployment in every province in Java Island Year 2007-2016. The method analysis of this research using Panel data with using Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach. The result of panel data regression showed simultaneously that the variables of tghe GDP, Province Minimum Wage, and inflation have significant, The result of partial test analysis showed that The GDP has significant influence, while province Minimum Wage and inflation have a negative and insignificant on open unemployment Rate in Java Island period 2007-2016. The total variation in open unemployment rate in Java Island province can be explained by independent variables of PDRB, UMP and inflation at 93.35%.

Determinants of Job Opportunities in Yogyakarta Special Regional Province

“…This is in accordance with the first hypothesis which states that the minimum wage variable has a negative effect on the labor force. The results of this study are in line with the results of research that has been carried out by Utari (2018) and Nabillah (2020), which show that the Minimum Wage variable has no significant effect on Employment Opportunities. In addition, the results of this study are not in line with the results of research that has been carried out by Lemiyana & Panorama (2018), Dona, Effendi, &Muliati (2018), andSholeh (2012), whose research results state that the Minimum Wage variable has a significant effect to Job Opportunities.…”

Analisis Pengangguran Usia Muda di Pulau Jawa Sebelum dan Saat Pandemi Covid-19

“…Angkatan kerja usia muda yang baru menyelesaikan pendidikan biasanya akan mengalami pengangguran. Hal ini karena para lulusan baru bersedia untuk menunggu lebih lama hingga mendapatkan pekerjaan yang sesuai dengan keinginan mereka, seperti perkantoran atau pekerjaan yang berada di sektor formal (Amrullah et al 2019).…”

Examining The Effects of Economic Growth on Unemployment in Indonesia

“…The results of this study also show the relationship between the minimum wage and the unemployment rate which is not significant. According to research conducted by Amrullah et al (2019) regarding the determinants of the Open Unemployment Rate in Java in 2007-2016, it is stated that whatever the minimum wage increases, it will not affect the unemployment rate. An increase in the minimum wage is not always accompanied by a decrease in the unemployment rate.…”

“…Based on the explanation of economic growth, minimum wage and human development index, a problem arises that must be investigated regarding economic growth, minimum wage and human development index in Indonesia. Amrullah et al (2019) analyze the determinants of the open unemployment rate in java in 2007-2016. This study uses the variables of minimum wage, grdp and inflation rate on open unemployment.…”