Background and objective: Osimertinib as rst-line treatment for patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) harboring epidermal growth factor (EGFR) mutations remains controversial. Sequential EGFRtyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) might be superior to the rst line osimertinib in patients at risk of developing acquired T790M mutations.Methods: We enrolled consecutive patients with EGFR-mutated (deletion 19 or L858R) advanced NSCLC treated with rst-line drugs and evaluated predictive markers using classi cation and regression tree (CART) for the detection of T790M mutations based on patient backgrounds prior to initial treatment.Results: Patients without acquired T790M mutations had worse outcomes than those with T790M mutations (median OS: 798 days vs. not reached; HR: 2.70; P<0.001). CART identi ed three distinct groups based on variables associated with acquired T790M mutations (age, CYF, WBC, liver metastasis, and LDH; AUROC: 0.77). Based on certain variables, CART identi ed three distinct groups in deletion 19 (albumin, LDH, bone metastasis, pleural effusion, and WBC; AUROC: 0.81) and two distinct groups in L858R (age, CEA, and ALP; AUROC: 0.80). The T790M detection frequencies after TKI resistance of afatinib and rst-generation EGFR-TKIs were similar (35.3% vs. 37.4%, P=0.933). Afatinib demonstrated longer PFS (398 vs. 279 days; HR: 0.67; P=0.004) and OS (1053 vs. 956 days; HR: 0.68; P=0.051) than rst-generation EGFR-TKIs.Conclusion: Identi cation of patients at risk of acquiring T790M mutations after EGFR-TKI failure may aid in choice of rst-line EGFR-TKI. Furthermore, afatinib may be the more effective 1st-line EGFR-TKI treatment for patients at risk of developing T790M as initial EGFR-TKI resistance.