Mapping vulnerability to climate change

Heltberg, Rasmus; Bonch-Osmolovskiy, Misha

doi:10.1596/1813-9450-5554

Cited by 51 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…We defined vulnerability as a function of shocks, susceptibility and resilience, and namely the interplay between the realization of stochastic events, i.e., shocks, and individual, household, community, and country's ability to anticipate and respond to such events. A community is considered vulnerable to floods and droughts if the risk will result in a loss of well-being or welfare with which the individual or household in a community is unable to cope (Heltberg and Bonch-Osmolovskiy 2011).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of the 2010 Droughts and Floods on Community Welfare in Rural Thailand: Differential Effects of Village Educational Attainment

Garbero¹,

Muttarak²

2013

E&S

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ABSTRACT. Climatic events can have disastrous consequences on rural livelihoods, which rely mainly on agriculture and natural resources. The way households and communities respond to climatic shocks depends on their available resources. We formulated that education is a human capital asset that can increase coping abilities in difficult times because education improves access to both social and economic resources. Based on the Thai government surveys of the living conditions and life quality of 68,343 rural villages for the years 2009 and 2011, we investigated the impacts of floods and droughts in 2010 on community welfare, i.e., consumption and income in 2011 at the village level. Using difference-in-difference methods, we analyzed how differential demographic composition and education could reduce or increase economic vulnerability to natural disasters. We found that floods and droughts do not produce a negative effect either on food and nonfood consumption, investment in agriculture and education, or on income. However, this applies mainly to communities with higher educational attainment partly because these communities can better secure government financial aid for flood and drought affected areas. Education thus may have an important role in reducing economic vulnerability.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impacts of the 2010 Droughts and Floods on Community Welfare in Rural Thailand: Differential Effects of Village Educational Attainment

Garbero¹,

Muttarak²

2013

E&S

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“…Studies on vulnerability to climate change and climate risks, including floods, have been undertaken in different regions of the world (Ali, 2007;Aragon-Durand, 2007;Bankoff, 2003;Dutta, Khatun, & Herath, 2005;Gbetibouo & Ringler, 2009;Heltberg & Bonch-Osmolovskiy, 2011;Metzger & Schroter, 2006;Midgley et al, 2011;Thieken, Kreibich, & Merz, 2007;Thorton et al, 2006;Yusuf & Francisco, 2009). Some excellent conceptual and applied work has emerged in the fields of climate change vulnerability and adaptation (Adger, 2006;Fussel & Klein, 2006;Smit & Wandel, 2006;Vincent, 2004).…”

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confidence: 99%

Spatial Analysis of Vulnerability to Flooding in Port Harcourt Metropolis, Nigeria

Akukwe

Ogbodo

2015

Sage Open

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A flood is the accumulation of too much water which rises to overflow land which is not normally submerged (Mukhopadhyay, 2010; Ward, 1978). Flooding can comprise overflow of a river as a result of prolonged seasonal rainfall, rainstorm, snowmelt, dam-breaks, accumulation of rainwater in low-lying areas with a high water table, or inadequate storm drainage. Floods could also be caused by intrusion of sea water onto coast lands during cyclonic/tidal surges (Handmer, Penning-Rowsell, & Tapsell, 1999; Stoltman, Lidstone, & DeChano, 2004). The terms used to describe flooding are numerous and may mean different things to different scholars with respect to the context in which they are used (Brooks, 2003; Brooks, Adger, & Kelly, 2005). Social scientists and climate scientists often mean different things when they use the term "vulnerability"; whereas social scientists tend to view vulnerability as representing the set of socioeconomic factors that determine people's ability to cope with stress or change (Allen, 2003), climate scientists often view vulnerability in terms of the likelihood of occurrence and impacts of weather-and climate-related events (

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“…Projecting impacts, vulnerabilities, and adaptations in Asia, Hijioka et al (2014) suggest that water scarcity is expected to become a major challenge in many parts of Asia, including Central Asia. Tajikistan's main agricultural valleys are among the most vulnerable to the impact of climate change, where water availability is a major climate-change-related concern (Heltberg and Bonch-Osmolovskiy 2011). Bobojonov and Aw-Hassan (2014) suggest that the impact of climate change on incomes derived from agriculture in Tajikistan is expected to be crop-specific.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change Effects on Agriculture and Food Security in Tajikistan

Khakimov

Aliev

Thomas

et al. 2020

Silk Road: A Journal of Eurasian Development

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Climate change is one of the main challenges for Tajikistan's agricultural development and food security both in the medium and longer term. It is considered one of the key obstacles to achieving the country's strategic objectives as defined in the National Development Strategy for 2016-2030, which includes ensuring food security and access to quality nutrition by 2030. Using IFPRI's International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT), this article examines the effects of climate change on agriculture and food security in Tajikistan. The model simulation results show that yields of some major crops will decline significantly and project an overall negative effect of climate change on the agriculture sector in the country. Climate change will be one of the main challenges for food security, leading to an increased number of people at risk of hunger, malnourishment, especially among children and other vulnerable groups, and insufficient per capita calorie intake. Lower food availability may lead to higher food prices, which would negatively affect the livelihood of the population.

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Mapping vulnerability to climate change

Cited by 51 publications

References 12 publications

Impacts of the 2010 Droughts and Floods on Community Welfare in Rural Thailand: Differential Effects of Village Educational Attainment

Impacts of the 2010 Droughts and Floods on Community Welfare in Rural Thailand: Differential Effects of Village Educational Attainment

Spatial Analysis of Vulnerability to Flooding in Port Harcourt Metropolis, Nigeria

Climate Change Effects on Agriculture and Food Security in Tajikistan

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