The Natural Range of Variability is a concept used under the ecosystem management paradigm that means understanding the disturbance-driven spatial and temporal variability of the ecological systems and mimicking them in management strategies. With this project, we developed a framework that permitted addressing biodiversity issues under the lens of the Natural Range of Variability (NRV) for a managed public forest in central-west Alberta. To do so, we brought together a spatial harvest scheduler, a fire and succession landscape simulator, and a toolbox of biodiversity indicator models. Indicator models, that encompass landscape configuration, ecosystem diversity, stand internal habitat features and speciesspecific habitat supply models, were applied on the outputs of the landscape dynamics simulator to define the NRV. The risk of losing biodiversity values in applying the forest management strategy was addressed by comparing indicators outputs over the simulation horizon with their respective NRV. Results demonstrate that no forest-age-related indicator evaluated on the harvest scheduler output shows an important deviation from the NRV. However, in regards to forest cover types there is obviously a loss in ecosystem diversity, as a direct effect of the stand composition control of the silvicultural strategies. We found that patch size distribution is generally compliant with the NRV, although we observed more large patches and better connectivity for old growth patches under fire-driven landscapes. We also found that downed woody debris volume and many understory vegetation (ground lichen, herb and shrub) covers were at risk. Over the seventeen wildlife species, we detected nine species that could be jeopardized by important loss of habitats. Back-tracking bottleneck forest conditions that put these biodiversity values at risk has allowed development of recommendations with regards to landscape design and adapted practices.Key words: BAP toolbox, fire-driven landscape, natural disturbance regime, ecosystem diversity, landscape configuration, wildlife habitat models, risk analysis
RÉSUMÉEn aménagement écosystémique, le concept de l'Enveloppe de la Variabilité Naturelle (EVN) demande à comprendre la variabilité spatio-temporelle de la dynamique des perturbations naturelles afin de s' en servir comme balises écologiques dans les stratégies d'aménagement. Dans ce projet, nous avons utilisé le concept de l'EVN afin d' évaluer le risque de perte de biodiversité d'une forêt publique du centre ouest de l' Alberta sous aménagement forestier. Pour ce faire, nous avons assemblé un modèle de récolte spatio-temporel, un simulateur de paysage faisant intervenir le feu et la succession, et une boîte-à-outils de modèles d'indicateur de biodiversité. Ces derniers permettent de caractériser la configuration spatiale et la diversité des écosystèmes, la structure interne des habitats, ainsi que la qualité de l'habitat de 17 espèces fauniques. L'EVN de chaque indicateur a été évaluée en appliquant les modèles d'indicateur au...