Ukraine's economy: key problems and prospects

Heyets, V.

doi:10.15407/eip2016.01.007

Cited by 31 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…спостерігалась відсутність зовнішнього фінансування, разом з тисячами смертей і зруйнованою соціальною інфраструктурою можна відновити шляхом результативного державного регулювання економічним потенціалом. Збільшення військових видатків та боргове фінансування через монетарну емісію лягли величезним тягарем на європейську економіку, що змусило уряди скоротити невійськові витрати, а Центральні банки розпочали політику монетарної стабілізації, але слідом за переконливими військовими успіхами, економічні реформи допомогли країнам ЄС відновити приватне споживання, стабілізувати його ринки та виграти війну економічно [10].…”

Section: It Is Determined That For An Effective Economic Policy Of Uk...unclassified

Програмно-Цільовий Підхід До Управління Економічним Потенціалом Держави В Умовах Військової Агресії

Якобчук¹,

Симоненко²,

Dovzhenko³

et al. 2023

Investytsiyi: praktyka ta dosvid

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PROGRAM-BASED APPROACH TO MANAGING THE ECONOMIC POTENTIAL OF THE STATE IN THE CONTEXT OF MILITARY AGGRESSION Досліджено теоретичні та практичні аспекти програмно-цільового підходу до управління економічним потенціалом країни, відображено динаміку макроекономічної ситуації під час війни, ступінь руйнування інфраструктури, тенденції зовнішньої торгівлі та її перспективи, проблеми з фінансуванням витратної частини державного бюджету, збільшення державного боргу" вплив на потенціал української економіки обсягів допомоги західних країн, обгрунтовано можливі шляхи застосування програмно-цільового підходу для забезпечення управління показниками національного виробництва України тощо.

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Section: It Is Determined That For An Effective Economic Policy Of Uk...unclassified

Програмно-Цільовий Підхід До Управління Економічним Потенціалом Держави В Умовах Військової Агресії

Якобчук¹,

Симоненко²,

Dovzhenko³

et al. 2023

Investytsiyi: praktyka ta dosvid

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“…The solution of this problem may be set as one of the tasks of our research because we put forward the hypothesis of direct positive dependence of capital outflow volumes from the level of economic growth and activity in the country that may be expressed with the help of indicators of GDP, gross value added or financial capital inflow. Heiets (2016) argues that the economy of Ukraine and the economic systems of the most developing countries are characterized by contradictory trends of investments dynamics caused by influence of different internal and external factors, the impact of which is able by reason of institutional insolvency of national transitional economy that also causes the illicit financial flows of capital but direct correlation between institutional state of investment sphere in the national economy and dynamics of illicit financial flows is not researched by the author.…”

Section: Overview Of the Relevant Publicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Methodology of Investment System Research in the Aspect of Unproductive Capital Outflow: Example of Ukraine and International Dimension

Лайко

Burkynskyi

2021

BJES

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The relevance of the topic of development of theoretical and methodological approaches to investment system regulation under influence of unproductive capital outflow is justified by significance of financial capital movements from groups of countries to others, caused by inappropriate institutional support for strategic investments. Aim of the proposed research is the development of methodological approaches to study and regulation of investment system development that allow to provide analysis of actual modern tendencies of investment system development, to estimate the influence of capital outflow on financial provision of investment process and to design regulating framework for shortening of unproductive financial capital outflow. The work is dedicated to research of theoretical, methodological and applicable basis of investment system development regulation in aspect of reducing of unproductive financial capital outflow with calculation of possible effect from involvement of reduced volumes of capital outflow into investment process. The research methodology, which is based on sustainable development and principle of balance of the stakeholders’ interests, includes approaches of system, theoretical and empirical analysis that allows us to identify the sense and structure of investment system in a sample of Ukraine and other 11 countries. Due to the statistical and econometric methods the estimation of the dynamics and regularities of capital investments are explored and the role of financial capital outflow in economic development of the country is estimated as percentage of GDP and as potential implicit resource that can be involved in investment process. The authors propose the methodology of investment system research and regulating from positions of institutional support embittering for renewal of invested capital and for attraction of new strategic investors. The provided systematization of theoretical positions in the sphere of investments and capital migration allows to obtain the definition of sense of investment system, to discover the regularities of its development and to identify the phenomenon of unproductive outflow of financial capital. It is found that the main criteria of unproductivity of capital outflow is excess of losses and expenses for national economy, caused by such migration of resources, under possible benefits. Conclusion. The hypothesis of existence of direct positive dependence of unproductive outflow of financial capital from growth of the national economic is proved in a sample of Ukraine due to the use of empirical statistical study method. It is identified that the key factor that provokes capital outflow is inappropriate institutional support for strategic investments. The proposed model of estimation of correlation between capital investments and value added allows to calculate the possible economic, social, and budgetary effect from involving into economy of Ukraine investments saved from outflow, that can result in more than 22.6 bln USD of value added growth.

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“…O. Ovchynnikova [10] deals with improving the methods of short term forecasting of regional migration of the population and M. Romaniuk deals with reimmigration [11]. A scientific breakthrough in forecasting the economic environment and transformation of the national economy was made by the scientists of the Institute for Economics and Forecasting of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine: V. Heyets [12], V. Blyznyuk [13] and M. Skrypnychenko.…”

Section: Formation Of the Forecasting Model For Ukrainian -German Migmentioning

confidence: 99%

Formation of the forecasting model for Ukrainian – German migration system

Mulska

Baranyak

2019

Economy and forecasting

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The article presents results of the research on the population's migration activity in the context of the formation of a new migration system (MS), such as the Ukrainian-German one. It has been determined that the expansion of the scale and diversification of the composition of migratory flows intensify their influence on contemporary demographic, socio-economic and ethno-cultural processes both in the donor country and in the recipient country. It is proved that the consideration of the migration component has become necessary in developing the demographic, social and economic, foreign and ethno-cultural strategies of the country's development. Authors present a technique to construct forecasts of migration activity in the conditions of formation of the Ukrainian-German migration system. It is based on a three-stage algorithm: 1) forecasting the size and structure of the population of Germany and Ukraine; 2) forecasting macroeconomic indicators and conditions of labour markets of Germany and Ukraine; and 3) forecasting the volumes of potential migration in the conditions of formation of the investigated MS (Ukraine-Germany). Based on the projection of the German population by 2060, and taking into account variations in the volume of immigration in the country, authors prove that a significant deformation of the age structure of the indigenous population as a result of the nation's 'hyper-aging' may lead to a demographic collapse, which makes it impossible for the country's economic growth to result in shortages of high-skilled workforce in the labour market. The arguments presented confirm the hypothesis of the dependence of the German economy on the immigration flows of human resources. On the basis of the constructed economic-mathematical model, the authors estimated the probable variants of further development of the UGMS for medium-term (by 2025) and long-term (until 2030) perspectives under different developmental scenarios (the benchmark, optimistic, tendentious, and pessimistic ones). The investigation has shown that during 2025-2030 in Ukraine, the demographic and, as a result, labour-saving crisis, caused by the emigration of human resources in young and middle age, coupled with low fertility rates, will aggravate in Ukraine. In this context, the feasibility of constructing a new migration policy with the effect of replacing the workforce has been substantiated. This publication is prepared withing the research project on "Migration activity of the population of the Carpathian region" (state registration No 0119U002010).

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Ukraine's economy: key problems and prospects

Cited by 31 publications

References 3 publications

Програмно-Цільовий Підхід До Управління Економічним Потенціалом Держави В Умовах Військової Агресії

Програмно-Цільовий Підхід До Управління Економічним Потенціалом Держави В Умовах Військової Агресії

Methodology of Investment System Research in the Aspect of Unproductive Capital Outflow: Example of Ukraine and International Dimension

Formation of the forecasting model for Ukrainian – German migration system

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