Unrealized Potential: A Review of Perceptions and Use of Weather and Climate Information in Agricultural Decision Making

Mase, Amber Saylor; Prokopy, Linda Stalker

doi:10.1175/wcas-d-12-00062.1

Cited by 113 publications

(107 citation statements)

References 57 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

101

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Eisenack et al 2014;Mase and Prokopy 2014;Jones et al 2016). Some limited research has been conducted on the interdependencies between barriers and the dynamic changes that affect them (e.g.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?

Dunn

Rounsevell

Carlsen³

et al. 2017

Climatic Change

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

We explore the individual and institutional conditions and the climate information used to underpin decision-making for adaptation to high-end climate change (HECC) scenarios in a land resource management context. HECC refers to extreme projections with global annual temperature increases of over 4°C. We analyse whether HECC scenarios are used in the adaptation decision-making of stakeholders who will tackle the potential problem. We also explore whether the adaptation actions being considered are pertinent only to future climate change or whether other drivers and information types are used in decision-making (including Climatic Change (2017) Adaptation Scotland/SNIFFER, Edinburgh, Scotland non-climate drivers). We also address the role of knowledge uncertainty in adaptation decision-making. Decision-makers perceive HECC as having a low probability of occurrence and so they do not directly account for HECC within existing actions to address climate change. Such actions focus on incremental rather than transformative solutions in which non-climate drivers are at least as important, and in many cases more important, than climate change alone. This reflects the need to accommodate multiple concerns and low risk options (i.e. incremental change). Uncertainty in climate change information is not a significant barrier to decision-making and stakeholders indicated little need for more climate information in support of adaptation decision-making. There is, however, an identified need for more information about the implications of particular sectoral and cross-sectoral impacts under HECC scenarios. The outcomes of this study provide evidence to assist in contextualising climate change information by creating usable, cross-sectoral, decision-centred information.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The need to understand and work within stakeholders' existing decision-making processes is well established in the literature (e.g. Mase and Prokopy 2014;Howden and Jacobs 2015). Although the decision-centred framework is increasingly acknowledged as resulting in better decision-making than the climate-centred framework (e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?

Dunn

Rounsevell

Carlsen³

et al. 2017

Climatic Change

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…On a related note, there is insufficient research on the role of climate in farmer decision-making in California (Nicholas and Durham 2012;Niles et al 2013) and countrywide (Mase and Prokopy 2014). One California study suggested that farmers were more likely to pursue adaptation actions if they perceived climate change as being a proximate and relevant phenomenon, but many did not .…”

Section: Opportunities For Future Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Vulnerability of California specialty crops to projected mid-century temperature changes

et al. 2017

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Increasing global temperatures are likely to have major impacts on agriculture, but the effects will vary by crop and location. This paper describes the temperature sensitivity and exposure of selected specialty crops in California. We used literature synthesis to create several sensitivity indices (from 1 to 4) to changes in winter minimum and summer maximum temperature for the top 14 specialty crops. To estimate exposure, we used seasonal period change analysis of mid-century minimum and maximum temperature changes downscaled to county level from CMIP5 models. We described crop vulnerability on a county basis as (crop sensitivity index × county climate exposure × area of crop in county); individual crop vulnerabilities were combined to create an aggregate index of specialty crop vulnerability by county. We also conducted analyses scaled by crop value rather than area, and normalized to Climatic Change

show abstract

“…Agricultural systems are complex, and producers are generally experienced in integrating many different considerations into a single decision (Mase and Prokopy, 2014). Often, a focus on short-term improvements and regulatory actions can have unintended negative impacts on other parts of the production system or the environment.…”

Section: Priorities For Partnerships and Communication Among Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Northwest U.S. Agriculture in a Changing Climate: Collaboratively Defined Research and Extension Priorities

Yorgey

Hall

Allen

et al. 2017

Front. Environ. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In order for agricultural systems to successfully mitigate and adapt to climate change there is a need to coordinate and prioritize next steps for research and extension. This includes focusing on "win-win" management practices that simultaneously provide short-term benefits to farmers and improve the sustainability and resiliency of agricultural systems with respect to climate change. In the Northwest U.S., a collaborative process has been used to engage individuals spanning the research-practice continuum. This collaborative approach was utilized at a 2016 workshop titled "Agriculture in a Changing Climate," that included a broad range of participants including university faculty and students, crop and livestock producers, and individuals representing state, tribal and federal government agencies, industry, nonprofit organizations, and conservation districts. The Northwest U.S. encompasses a range of agro-ecological systems and diverse geographic and climatic contexts. Regional research and science communication efforts for climate change and agriculture have a strong history of engaging diverse stakeholders. These features of the Northwest U.S. provide a foundation for the collaborative research and extension prioritization presented here. We focus on identifying research and extension actions that can be taken over the next 5 years in four areas identified as important areas by conference organizers and participants: (1) cropping systems, (2) livestock systems, (3) decision support systems to support consideration of climate change in agricultural management decisions; and (4) partnerships among researchers and stakeholders. We couple insights from the workshop and a review of current literature to articulate current scientific understanding, and priorities recommended by workshop participants that target existing knowledge Yorgey et al.Priorities for U.S. Northwest Agriculture in a Changing Climate gaps, challenges, and opportunities. Priorities defined at the Agriculture in a Changing Climate workshop highlight the need for ongoing investment in interdisciplinary research integrating social, economic, and biophysical sciences, strategic collaborations, and knowledge sharing to develop actionable science that can support informed decision-making in the agriculture sector as the climate changes.

show abstract

Unrealized Potential: A Review of Perceptions and Use of Weather and Climate Information in Agricultural Decision Making

Cited by 113 publications

References 57 publications

To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?

To what extent are land resource managers preparing for high-end climate change in Scotland?

Vulnerability of California specialty crops to projected mid-century temperature changes

Northwest U.S. Agriculture in a Changing Climate: Collaboratively Defined Research and Extension Priorities

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About