Several recent studies have predicted decreased environmental suitability for species in future scenarios of climate change, which will affect the economy of many municipalities. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of global climate change on environmental suitability for "Pequi" tree (Caryocar brasiliense; an economically important Cerrado fruit tree) and investigate the relationship between environmental suitability (according to an ecological niche model -ENM) and production of "Pequi" fruit in Brazilian cities. For the ENM, we used 312 occurrence points of "Pequi" tree and nine climatic variables to model current distribution and project it into future scenarios (scenario A2a for CCCma AOGCM). "Pequi" production averaged 30.89 kg/km 2 , and the Gross Internal Product at municipal level and "Pequi" production were negatively but marginally correlated (r = -0.16; P = 0.05 using Dutilleul's correction for spatial autocorrelation), suggesting that poor municipalities tend to have more use of this natural resource. Future scenarios showed large losses of suitable environments for the species in 2050 in Central Brazil. There is also a significant positive correlation between environmental suitability in current time and "Pequi" production across municipalities (r = 0.382, P = 0.032). Our results suggest that municipality currently using "Pequi" fruit will have lower production in the future, because their regions will be less suitable for "Pequi" tree, which in turn may affect the local economies. Thus, it is necessary that governments develop policies that mitigate adverse impacts, enhance positive impacts, and supports adaptation to climate change, together with enhancing local food security.
Quadro 1: Entes Federativos e suas Competências ………………………………… Quadro 2: Visão cartesiana e visão sistêmica: um paralelismo …………………….. Quadro 3: Paralelismo entre a ecologia biológica e a ecologia de empresas ………. Quadro 4: Classificação das principais correntes de pensamento da economia do Meio Ambiente …………………………………………………………... Quadro 5: O impacto das mudanças climáticas e as implicações advindas dessa mudança em relação ao acesso a alimentos, água tratada, saúde, o uso da terra e o ambiente ……………………………………………………….. Quadro 6: Estratégia Ecoimagination da General Eletric……………………………… Quadro 7: Dimensão, variáveis independentes, indicadores das variáveis e item do questionário ……………………………………………………………... Quadro 8: Dimensão, variáveis dependentes, indicadores das variáveis e item do questionário ……………………………………………………………... Quadro 9: Dimensão, variável de controle, indicadores da variável e item do questionário ……………………………………………………………... Quadro 10: Grupo de hipóteses e as variáveis relacionadas ………………………… Quadro 11: Escalas de Medição para Análise de Dados …………………………….. Quadro 12: Tipos de erros em teste de hipóteses …………………………………... Quadro 13: Tipologias de correlações ……………………………………………….. Quadro 14: Taxonomia para análise do coeficiente de variação de Pearson-CCP … xi
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This theoretical essay presents the conceptual model called The Systemic Dimensions for the study of Business Cooperation in Small and Medium Enterprises, having as reference the strategic dimensions; organizational; of products and / or services and marketing. A theoretical mapping is done regarding the cooperation strategy; organizational architecture; strategy and systemic approach; organizational culture; innovation, competitiveness; essential skills; market positioning; market segmentation and marketing compound. Finally, it presents a series of questions aimed at understanding the process of business cooperation in Small and Medium Enterprises, as a contribution to future discussions.
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