We provide new evidence on the economic role of growth options behind the profitability, distress, lotteryness, and volatility anomalies. We use idiosyncratic skewness to measure growth options and estimate expected idiosyncratic skewness capturing investors’ expectations about the firm’s mix of growth options versus assets-in-place. We find that investors require a positive premium to hold stocks of inflexible firms with low growth options and negative expected skewness and that a newly proposed skewness factor based on growth options explains the aforementioned anomalies. Thus, the new measure of expected idiosyncratic skewness may serve to reduce the number of anomalies in the literature.
We analyze the optimal capital structure of a bank issuing countercyclical contingent capital, i.e., notes to be converted in common shares in case of a bad state for the economy. This type of asset reduces the spread of straight debt but is quite expensive. The effect on bankruptcy costs is limited (it is strong when contingent capital is not countercyclical), the asset reduces the asset substitution incentive. Contingent capital is useful for macroprudential regulation, the countercyclical feature is important depending on priorities (moderate the asset substitution incentive or reduce bankruptcy costs).
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